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February 6, 2026European Heart Journal0 citations

Newer GLP-1 receptor agonists and clinical outcomes in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction: a real-world comparative study

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ARA R RahmaniATAmin TajerianJBJ Butler

Key Result

Semaglutide and tirzepatide use in patients with HFrEF was associated with significantly lower 1-year all-cause mortality compared to matched controls (HR 0.45; 95% CI 0.35-0.57 for semaglutide).

Key Points

  • Assess the impact of newer GLP-1 receptor agonists semaglutide and tirzepatide on mortality and hospitalization in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF).
  • Retrospective cohort analysis using a real-world research network.
  • Data from 105 healthcare organizations.
  • Compared patients with HFrEF treated with semaglutide or tirzepatide to propensity-score matched controls.
  • Evaluated outcomes of mortality and hospitalization using Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazards models.
  • 1-year mortality was 4.2% for semaglutide vs. 9.1% for controls (HR: 0.45; p<0.001).
  • 1-year mortality was 3.6% for tirzepatide vs. 8.8% for controls (HR: 0.40; p=0.007).
  • Death or hospitalization rates were significantly lower for both groups compared to controls across all evaluated metrics.

Study Design

Type

Cohort (n=5,122)

Multicenter

Yes

Structured PICO

Do newer GLP-1 receptor agonists (semaglutide and tirzepatide) reduce mortality and hospitalizations in patients with HFrEF?

P
Population
5,122 patients with HFrEF treated with semaglutide or tirzepatide and 1:1 propensity-score matched controls, evaluated for 1-year outcomes.
E
Exposure
Semaglutide or tirzepatide
C
Comparator
1:1 propensity-score matched controls who never received GLP-1 receptor agonists
O
Outcome
All-cause mortality, composite of death or heart failure hospitalization (HFH), and composite of death or all-cause hospitalization (ACH) at 1 yearcomposite

In a real-world cohort of patients with HFrEF, treatment with semaglutide or tirzepatide was associated with significantly lower 1-year all-cause mortality and hospitalizations compared to matched controls.

Main Result

Hazard Ratio: 0.45 (95% CI 0.35–0.57)

Absolute Event Rate: 4.2% vs 9.1%

p-value: p=<0.001

Abstract

Abstract Background Newer glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RAs) improve outcomes in obese patients with heart failure (HF) and preserved ejection fraction with or without diabetes. However, their role in HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) remains unclear, as data from older-generation GLP-1RA trials and post hoc analyses from newer-generation GLP-1RA trials are conflicting. Purpose To assess the effect of the newer GLP-1RAs semaglutide and tirzepatide on mortality and hospitalization in patients with HFrEF. Methods We Conducted a retrospective cohort analysis using a real-world research network collaboration, incorporating data from 105 healthcare organizations. Patients with HFrEF treated with semaglutide (n=2,225) or tirzepatide (n=336) between Jul 1, 2022, and Dec 31, 2023, were compared to 1:1 propensity-score matched controls who never received GLP-1RAs (Table 1). We evaluated the following outcomes at 1 week after the inception date: (1) all-cause mortality, (2) death or HF hospitalization (HFH), and (3) death or all-cause hospitalization (ACH). Kaplan-Meier survival curves and Cox proportional hazards models were utilized to evaluate the association of GLP-1RAs with outcomes. Results In the semaglutide group, 1-year mortality was 4.2% vs. 9.1% in controls (HR: 0.45; 95% CI: 0.35-0.57; p0.001), while in the tirzepatide group, it was 3.6% vs. 8.8% (HR: 0.40; 95% CI: 0.20-0.80; p=0.007). Death or HFH rates at 1 year were significantly lower in both semaglutide and tirzepatide groups vs. controls (semaglutide: 12.5% vs. 19.1% HR: 0.62; 95% CI: 0.53-0.72; p=0.042, and tirzepatide: 11.0% vs. 18.5% HR: 0.55; 95% CI: 0.37-0.83; p=0.004). The death or ACH rates were also significantly lower with GLP-1RAs (semaglutide: 25.4% vs. 34.9% HR: 0.66; 95% CI: 0.59-0.74; p0.001, and tirzepatide: 22.9% vs. 32.1% HR: 0.65; 95% CI: 0.48-0.87; p=0.004) (Table 2). Conclusion Both semaglutide and tirzepatide were associated with lower mortality and hospitalization composite outcomes in patients with HFrEF. Semaglutide demonstrated stronger statistical significance across all endpoints. Clinically, these findings suggest that GLP-1 RAs could be an adjunctive therapy in managing HFrEF, particularly for patients with comorbid metabolic disorders. Further randomized controlled trials are necessary to validate these findings and elucidate the mechanisms underlying their cardioprotective effects.Table 1 Table 2

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Cite This Study

Rahmani et al. (2025) conducted a cohort in Heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) (n=5,122). Semaglutide and tirzepatide vs. Propensity-score matched controls who never received GLP-1RAs was evaluated on 1-year all-cause mortality (HR 0.45, 95% CI 0.35-0.57, p=<0.001). Semaglutide and tirzepatide use in patients with HFrEF was associated with significantly lower 1-year all-cause mortality compared to matched controls (HR 0.45; 95% CI 0.35-0.57 for semaglutide).

synapsesocial.com/papers/6985852f8f7c464f2300865dhttps://doi.org/10.1093/eurheartj/ehaf784.1530
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