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February 8, 2026npj Climate and Atmospheric Science0 citationsOpen Access

The role of soil moisture on summer atmospheric circulation climatology in the Northern Hemisphere

FLFei LuoRoyal Netherlands Meteorological InstituteFSFrank SeltenRoyal Netherlands Meteorological InstituteCDCoumou DimRoyal Netherlands Meteorological Institute

Key Points

  • To examine the effect of soil moisture on summer atmospheric circulation in the Northern Hemisphere using advanced climate modeling.
  • Conducted large-ensemble simulations with the EC-Earth 3 climate model.
  • Performed two experiments: one with interactive soil moisture and one with prescribed soil moisture states.
  • Analyzed circulation changes, including shifts in subtropical jets and wave amplitudes over land.
  • Interactive soil moisture leads to a poleward displacement of subtropical jets.
  • Strengthened polar front jet and enhanced land-atmosphere coupling observed.
  • Mean summer surface temperatures increased by up to +1.5 K, with extremes rising by +3.0 K.

Abstract

Abstract Soil moisture strongly modulates heat waves and droughts by altering land-atmosphere feedbacks, yet its influence on large-scale circulation remains inadequately quantified. Using large-ensemble simulations with the state-of-the-art climate model EC-Earth 3, we demonstrate that interactive soil moisture has a substantial impact on Northern Hemisphere summer circulation climatology. Two experiments were conducted: a fully interactive simulation and one with prescribed soil moisture states. The results reveal pronounced circulation shifts. Relative to the prescribed case, the interactive experiment drives a poleward displacement of the subtropical jets. It strengthens the polar front jet and enhances land-atmosphere coupling, amplifying wave amplitudes over land by ~24%. Interactive soil moisture raises mean summer surface temperatures by up to +1.5 K and extremes by +3.0 K. These findings demonstrate that soil moisture fluctuations can modify mean atmospheric circulation, with important implications for future summer climate projections.

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Cite This Study

Luo et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/698828cb0fc35cd7a8848a1ehttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-025-01294-4
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