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February 9, 20260 citations

Expertise as contingency-reduction: evidence from interviews concerning Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine on German TV news

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MKMonika KrauseJGJan Gilles

Key Points

  • This research investigates how experts on German television interpret the implications of the 2022 Russian invasion for the German public.
  • Qualitative analysis of expert interviews aired on German TV news
  • Focus on the first 13 months of the Ukraine conflict
  • Assessment of the content and themes in responses related to public implications
  • Experts prioritize future implications for a German audience over direct issues in Ukraine
  • Responses are framed using scenarios and probabilities rather than academic research
  • Experts work to minimize uncertainty in public discussion about the conflict

Abstract

This article analyses interviews with experts on German television news concerning the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine in the context of debates about the public contribution of the social sciences and humanities. Considering the first 13 months of the war, we find that the questions put to experts are mostly not about Eastern Europe or Ukraine. Rather they concern the present and the future with reference to implications for a “we” conceived as the viewing public in Germany. In their answers, academic experts do not draw on research, but they draw on academic knowledge to produce statements, which reduce the range of possible interpretations and outcomes using exclusion, scenarios, and probabilities. Experts work to reduce contingency, a mode of "doing expertise" that cannot be fairly characterized merely as a governance strategy and is not fully captured by debates between scientistic approaches to the social sciences and humanities and their critics.

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Cite This Study

Krause et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/698979e9f0ec2af6756e7f07https://doi.org/10.1177/09636625261425575
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Also Consider

Synapse has enriched 5 closely related papers on similar clinical questions. Consider them for comparative context:

  1. 1Caught off guard? Evaluating how external experts in Germany warned about Russia’s war on Ukraine2024 · 7 citations
  2. 2Meet the experts on the war in Ukraine2026
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  4. 4Snyder and Habermas on the war in Ukraine: a critical discourse analysis of elite media discourse in Germany2024 · 7 citations
  5. 5The discursive framing of European integration in EU-wide media: actors, narratives and policies following the Russian invasion of Ukraine2024 · 19 citations