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February 11, 2026Scientific Reports1 citationsOpen Access

Investigation of 50 temperature-based models for estimating potential evapotranspiration (PET) in a semi-arid region

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JRJ. RamachandranARA. Anto RashwinKAK. Arunadevi

Key Points

  • The research aims to evaluate the accuracy of 50 temperature-based models for estimating potential evapotranspiration.
  • Assessment of models using daily meteorological data from a semi-arid region in Tamil Nadu, India.
  • Comparison against the FAO56 Penman–Monteith model as a benchmark.
  • Utilization of statistical indices including mean absolute error and coefficient of determination.
  • Certain models showed strong agreement with the FAO56 PM model.
  • The Althoff model ranked highest based on standardized performance indices.
  • Identified cost-effective alternatives for PET estimation in data-scarce regions.

Abstract

This study evaluates the performance of 50 empirical models for estimating potential evapotranspiration (PET) using daily meteorological data from a semi-arid region in Tamil Nadu, India. These temperature- and humidity-based models were compared against the FAO56 Penman–Monteith (PM) model, a globally accepted benchmark. Statistical indices such as the coefficient of determination (R 2 ), mean absolute error, standard error estimate, and long-term average ratio (rt) were employed to assess model accuracy and reliability. The results revealed that certain models—specifically Althoff (Water 11:2272, 2019), Pereira (Agric Water Manag 66:251–257), and Samani (J Irrig Drain Eng 126:265–267, 2000)—exhibited strong agreement with the FAO56 PM model, offering a robust balance between accuracy and simplicity. The Althoff et al. model achieved the highest ranking based on standardized performance indices. This study is significant in identifying cost-effective alternatives for PET estimation in data-scarce, semi-arid regions, which is essential for irrigation planning and water resource management. However, a key limitation of this research is its exclusion of radiation and wind-based models, which may provide enhanced accuracy under certain conditions. Future research should explore the integration and calibration of multiple climatic parameters to improve PET estimation further.

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Cite This Study

Ramachandran et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/698be001058ab1890a13ba34https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-35472-y
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