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February 12, 2026Global Change Biology14 citations

Knowledge‐Guided Machine Learning for Global Change Ecology Research

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ZJZhenong JinUniversity of MinnesotaLLLicheng LiuUniversity of MinnesotaQYQi YangChina University of Mining and Technology

Key Points

  • The aim is to highlight how knowledge-guided machine learning (KGML) can enhance predictive modeling in global change ecology by integrating ecological principles.
  • Synthesis of knowledge-guided machine learning approaches in ecological modeling.
  • Integration of ecological principles into model design and training.
  • Analysis of KGML applications in carbon-water-nutrient cycles and decision support.
  • KGML enhances model prediction accuracy compared to traditional methods.
  • It offers new insights into ecosystem processes and responses to global change.
  • The review highlights the role of KGML in bridging data-driven approaches and ecological theory.

Abstract

ABSTRACT Global change ecology demands predictive models that reconcile data‐driven learning with mechanistic theory to address complex, interconnected ecosystem challenges. Traditional process‐based approaches struggle with spatiotemporal parameterization, while purely data‐driven machine learning approaches suffer from extrapolation, interpretability, and physical consistency. Knowledge‐guided machine learning (KGML) bridges this divide by systematically integrating ecological principles (e.g., physical first principles, stoichiometry, process understanding, disturbance regimes) into how models are designed, trained, and adjusted to generalize across different ecosystems. The emerging KGML paradigm offers tremendous opportunities to advance the research of global change ecology. This review synthesizes KGML's transformative potential, showcasing its capacity to enhance the prediction of carbon‐water‐nutrient cycles and other ecological processes and lay groundwork for ecological foundation models. Emerging applications in decision support and symbolic regression further illustrate its role in deriving actionable insights and novel theoretical hypotheses. Future directions emphasize adaptive integration of data and knowledge, uncertainty quantification, causal embedding in foundation models, and interdisciplinary collaboration to align KGML innovations with sustainability goals. By uniting ecological theory with AI advances, KGML offers a robust pathway to encompass ecosystem responses to global change, fostering scientific discovery and actionable solutions.

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Cite This Study

Jin et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/698d6dc15be6419ac0d52ec1https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.70742
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