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February 13, 2026Frontiers in Immunology1 citationsOpen Access

Cost-effectiveness of perioperative durvalumab plus FLOT for resectable gastric and gastroesophageal junction adenocarcinoma in the United States

JZJiahao ZhangCYCaicong YouWFWu Fu

Key Points

  • Evaluate the cost-effectiveness of perioperative durvalumab plus FLOT compared to FLOT alone in resectable gastric and gastroesophageal junction adenocarcinoma.
  • Developed a semi-Markov model for cost-effectiveness analysis.
  • Utilized clinical data from the MATTERHORN trial and transition probabilities from the RAINBOW trial.
  • Estimated medical costs using 2025 CMS fee schedules and literature.
  • Conducted deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses.
  • Durvalumab plus FLOT provided an additional 0.84 QALY over FLOT alone.
  • Incremental cost of durvalumab plus FLOT was $104,256.12.
  • ICER calculated at $124,661.87 per QALY gained.
  • Key uncertainties were driven by the cost of durvalumab and utility associated with event-free survival.

Abstract

Objective This study evaluated the cost-effectiveness of perioperative durvalumab plus FLOT compared with FLOT alone in patients with resectable gastric and gastroesophageal junction (G/GEJ) adenocarcinoma in the United States. Methods We developed a semi-Markov model to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of perioperative durvalumab plus FLOT compared with FLOT alone from the perspective of U. S. healthcare payers. The model utilized a 10-year time horizon with a 4-week cycle length. Clinical efficacy and safety data were primarily derived from the phase III MATTERHORN trial, while transition probabilities for subsequent lines of therapy were extrapolated from the RAINBOW trial. Direct medical costs were estimated using 2025 pricing data from CMS fee schedules and published literature. Health utility values were obtained from previous studies. Both costs and outcomes were discounted at an annual rate of 3%. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to assess the robustness of the results. Results Compared with perioperative FLOT alone, the addition of durvalumab provided an additional 0. 84 QALY, with an incremental cost of 104, 256. 12, yielding an ICER of 124, 661. 87 per QALY gained. Sensitivity analyses indicated that the cost of durvalumab and the utility associated with event-free survival (EFS) were the key drivers of model uncertainty. Conclusion From the perspective of U. S. healthcare payers, perioperative durvalumab plus FLOT is a cost-effective strategy compared with FLOT alone for patients with resectable G/GEJ adenocarcinoma.

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Cite This Study

Zhang et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/698ebedd85a1ff6a93016260https://doi.org/10.3389/fimmu.2026.1712403
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