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February 13, 2026Neurological Sciences1 citationsOpen Access

Refining predictors of long-term NEDA-3 status in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis: insights from real-world data

TGTommaso GuerraABAntonella BiancoCEChiara Esposto

Key Points

  • To identify long-term predictors of achieving NEDA-3 status in patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis.
  • Conducted a retrospective study on RRMS patients followed for up to six years.
  • Classified treatment exposure into moderate and high efficacy disease modifying treatments.
  • Comparative analysis of NEDA-3 achievement percentages based on treatment efficacy.
  • Applied logistic regression to discern predictors of NEDA-3 at 2 and 5 years.
  • 485 RRMS patients were analyzed, with HE DMTs linked to significantly higher NEDA-3 rates.
  • Risk factors for not achieving NEDA-3 included multifocal onset, delayed treatment initiation, and spinal cord lesions.
  • Initiation of HE DMTs was a protective factor for achieving NEDA-3 status over time.

Abstract

Abstract Background No evidence of disease activity-3 (NEDA-3) constitutes a crucial target for relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS). Long-term predictors of its attainment remain insufficiently characterized. This study aimed to assess the prevalence and the predictors of long-term NEDA-3 status in a large real-world RRMS cohort. Methods This retrospective monocentric study analyzed RRMS patients strictly followed for up to six years. Treatment exposure was classified based on the efficacy of the first therapy in moderate (ME) and high efficacy (HE) disease modifying treatments (DMTs). Percentages of patients exposed to ME and HE DMTs reaching NEDA-3 were compared. Logistic regression models were applied to identify predictors of NEDA-3 achievement at 2 and 5 years. EBNA-1 IgG and VCA IgG from Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) were also analyzed in a small sub-cohort. Results 485 RRMS patients were included. Subjects starting treatment with HE DMTs were associated with significantly higher rates of NEDA-3 across all time-points. Significant risk factors for not achieving NEDA-3 included multifocal onset, delayed treatment initiation and spinal cord lesions. Conversely, treatment initiation with HE DMT was a significant protective factor for NEDA-3 status achievement at 2 and 5 years of follow-up. Early initiation of HE DMTs significantly improves long-term control of disease activity. Conclusions Multifocal onset, delayed treatment initiation, presence of spinal cord lesions and oligoclonal bands were identified as risk factors of not achieving NEDA-3 status.

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Cite This Study

Guerra et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/698ebf3485a1ff6a93016631https://doi.org/10.1007/s10072-026-08876-x
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