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February 16, 2026Journal of Neuropathology & Experimental Neurology1 citations

Molecular and clinical prognostic factors in isocitrate dehydrogenase -mutant astrocytomas: Insights into biomarker-driven stratification

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NHNayuta HigaTAToshiaki AkahaneSYSeiya Yokoyama

Key Points

  • To identify clinical and molecular prognostic factors in IDH-mutant astrocytomas that predict tumor behavior and survival.
  • Conducted a retrospective multi-institutional study of 106 adult patients with IDH-mutant astrocytomas.
  • Classified tumors using a custom DNA/RNA next-generation sequencing panel based on the WHO 2021 classification.
  • Performed multivariate analysis to evaluate prognostic factors associated with overall survival.
  • CDKN2A/B homozygous deletion, MET fusions/splicing variants, and PDGFRA alterations predicted poor overall survival.
  • An upgrade to grade 4 occurred in 10.3% of previously classified lower-grade cases.
  • The accumulation of these genetic events correlates with adverse clinical features, including lower Karnofsky Performance Status.

Abstract

Abstract CDKN2A/B homozygous deletion (HD) defines isocitrate dehydrogenase (IDH)-mutant astrocytomas as World Health Organization (WHO) grade 4 and predicts aggressive tumor behavior. To identify clinical and molecular prognostic factors in these tumors, we conducted a retrospective multi-institutional study of 106 adult patients diagnosed with IDH-mutant astrocytomas (21 grade 2, 40 grade 3 and 45 grade 4). Tumors were classified using a custom DNA/RNA next-generation sequencing panel based on the 2021 WHO classification. This resulted in an upgrade to grade 4 in 10.3% of cases previously classified as grade II or III due to CDKN2A/B HD. Multivariate analysis identified CDKN2A/B HD (hazard ratio HR, 1.76; P = .005), MET fusions/splicing variants (HR, 5.38; P = .002), and PDGFRA alterations (HR, 3.66; P = .009) as independent predictors for poor overall survival. The accumulation of these 3 genetic events was strongly associated with unfavorable survival (P .001) and correlated with adverse clinical features, including lower Karnofsky Performance Status and higher Ki-67 indices. Our study validates the prognostic value of the WHO 2021 classification for IDH-mutant astrocytomas and demonstrates that MET and PDGFRA alterations are independent adverse prognostic factors, comparable to CDKN2A/B HD. Their cumulative burden enables refined molecular risk stratification to guide clinical management.

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Cite This Study

Higa et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69926503eb1f82dc367a0e4bhttps://doi.org/10.1093/jnen/nlaf154
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