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February 19, 2026Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres0 citationsOpen Access

Hydroxyl Interannual Variability Impacts Estimation of Regional Methane Emissions

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DBDmitry BelikovPPPrabir K. PatraNSNaoko Saitoh

Key Points

  • This research investigates how interannual variability of hydroxyl affects methane emissions estimations across different regions from 2001 to 2019.
  • Utilized MIROC4‐ACTM inverse model simulations.
  • Assessed global and regional CH4 budgets.
  • Compared emissions from climatological and interannually varying hydroxyl models.
  • Global methane emissions estimated at approximately 564 Tg-CH4 per year.
  • East Asia shows a 20% increase in emissions due to hydroxyl variation.
  • Cumulative methane difference of −72.0 ± 2.0 Tg-CH4 observed between OH CLM and OH IAV.

Abstract

Abstract Methane is a major greenhouse gas in the Earth's atmosphere, but understanding of its sources and removal budget remains incomplete. Using MIROC4‐ACTM inverse model simulations, we examine the impact of hydroxyl (OH) variation on global and regional CH 4 budgets from 2001 to 2019. Our results show CH 4 emissions inferred from climatological (OH CLM ) and interannually varying (OH IAV ) OH fields align well for global emission (∼564 Tg‐CH 4 yr −1 ) but show clear regional differences. East Asia experiences the strongest OH‐related enhancement (∼+10 Tg‐CH 4 yr −1 , or ∼20% higher compared with the OH CLM scenario), with notable effects in Boreal North America (+16.2%), Europe (−16.4%), North Africa (−8.6%), and Central Africa (−11.8%). The OH IAV influence is strongest from 2001 to 2012, with a cumulative CH 4 emission difference of −72.0 ± 2.0 Tg‐CH 4 between OH CLM and OH IAV inversions. This study reiterates the need for improved estimation OH IAV using models and proxy observations.

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Cite This Study

Belikov et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6996a768ecb39a600b3ed083https://doi.org/10.1029/2025jd044457
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