Abstract Background: We have identified two potentially predictive signatures of palbociclib resistance: the RBsig, composed of E2F1/E2F2 dependent genes, which is associated with genetic loss of RB1, and the ratio between the gene expression levels of CCNE1 to RB1 (CCNE1/RB1). Both signatures have been previously analyzed in vitro and in neoadjuvant and metastatic studies with palbociclib. The present analysis aims to explore the role of RBsig and CCNE1/RB1 in the phase III adjuvant PALLAS trial, which randomized patients to palbociclib plus endocrine therapy, versus endocrine therapy alone. Materials and methods: Gene expression data from PALLAS were generated using the HTG EdgeSeq Oncology BM Panel. Of the 87 genes composing RBsig, 46 were available within the EdgeSeq dataset and were used for the analyses; CCNE1 and RB1 were both available. RBsig was calculated as the mean of the Z-score scaled gene expression (log) of the 46 genes; CCNE1/RB1 was computed as the log ratio between the mRNA expression of CCNE1 and RB1. The prognostic/predictive effect of the continuous signatures in terms of invasive disease-free survival (IDFS), distant recurrence-free survival (DRFS), and overall survival (OS) was evaluated using Cox proportional hazard models. Results: HTG data were available from 2,587 of 5,748 patients from the entire PALLAS intention-to-treat (ITT) cohort. As RBsig and CCNE1/RB1 levels are affected by pre-surgical treatments, we limited the analyses to 1612 pre-treatment samples (530 core biopsies and 1082 surgical specimens) (analysis population). Compared with the entire PALLAS ITT cohort, the analysis population was significantly enriched for patients with low clinical risk (41.3% vs 59.4%) who did not receive prior chemotherapy (17.5% vs 55.9%). In keeping with the PALLAS ITT cohort, no significant benefit from the addition of palbociclib was observed in the analysis population. Higher baseline RBsig or CCNE/RB1 values were significantly and independently associated with worse IDFS (hazard ratio HR 1.63, 95% confidence interval CI 1.3-2.0; HR 1.22, 95%CI 1.1-1.3, respectively), DRFS (HR 1.94, 95%CI 1.5-2.5; HR 1.26, 95%CI 1.1-1.4, respectively) and OS (HR 1.79, 95% CI 1.3-2.4; HR 1.26, 95%CI 1.1-1.4, respectively) in the analysis population. No predictive effect of palbociclib benefit was observed for either signature in the analysis population, nor according to clinical risk or chemotherapy receipt. Interestingly, higher RBsig was strongly prognostic in patients who did not receive adjuvant chemotherapy (HR 1.83, 95%CI 1.4-2.3) but not in those who received it (HR 1.01, 95%CI 0.6-1.6) (interaction p=0.02) suggesting a potential predictive role of RBsig for chemotherapy benefit. Conclusions: In the PALLAS trial, higher baseline RBsig or CCNE1/RB1 values are associated with worse prognosis, but are not predictive of benefit from palbociclib in the adjuvant setting. RBsig might be associated with differential benefit from chemotherapy. Further study of these biomarkers may strengthen their role in risk stratification.https://acknowledgments.alliancefound.org Citation Format: L. Malorni, D. Hlauschek, E. Mayer, M. Benelli, L. Biganzoli, I. Migliaccio, A. Kermanidis, G. Pfeiler, E. P. Mamounas, A. M. Brufsky, M. Bellet-Ezquerra, K. Clifton, G. Rubovszky, T. Foukakis, M. Goetz, S. Lee, M. Ruiz-Borrego, W. Symmans, K. V. Ballman, F. Liu, J. Machacek-Link, C. Denkert, A. DeMichele, M. Gnant. Prognostic and predictive role of RBsig and CCNE1/RB1 gene-expression signatures for patients with early breast cancer treated with endocrine therapy with or without palbociclib in the PALLAS trial (ABCSG-42, AFT-05, BIG 14-03) abstract. In: Proceedings of the San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium 2025; 2025 Dec 9-12; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Clin Cancer Res 2026;32(4 Suppl):Abstract nr PS2-07-13.
Malorni et al. (2026) studied this question.