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February 28, 2026Atmosphere1 citationsOpen Access

Smart Mobility Analytics: Inferring Transport Modes and Sustainability Metrics from GPS Data and Machine Learning

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NRNéstor RiveraANAndrea Karina Bermeo NaulaBRBlanca del Valle Arenas Ramírez

Key Points

  • The aim is to create a framework for analyzing urban transport modes and their environmental impacts using GPS data and machine learning techniques.
  • Integrated GPS data and dynamic traffic variables for analysis
  • Collected data at 1 Hz from 50 individuals over four weeks
  • Used physical predictors selected via the Football Optimization Algorithm
  • Employed a classification tree with a 70/15/15 train-validation-test split for model accuracy assessment
  • Achieved an overall accuracy of 84.2% in mode classification
  • Class precise measurements: 99% for walking and cycling, 93% for tram, 76% for private vehicles, and 64% for bus
  • Walking and cycling represent 65% of travel time and only 1.7% of CO2 emissions
  • Motorized modes produce over 98% of CO2 emissions, with buses emitting four times more CO2 than private vehicles.

Abstract

Urban sustainable mobility requires understanding how people travel, which modes they use, and what impacts these choices generate. This study proposes a smart mobility analytics framework that integrates GPS traces, dynamic traffic variables, and machine learning to infer transport modes and sustainability metrics in Cuenca, Ecuador. Geospatial and kinematic data were collected at 1 Hz from 50 participants over four working weeks, yielding 8.99 million samples across five modes: walking, cycling, tram, bus, and private vehicles. A compact subset of physical and spatial predictors, derived from speed, acceleration, jerk, longitudinal forces, and distance to public transport routes, was selected using the Football Optimization Algorithm. A classification tree trained with a 70/15/15 train–validation–test split achieved an overall accuracy of 84.2%, with class precisions of about 99% for pedestrian and bicycle, 93% for tram, 76% for private vehicles, and 64% for bus. The classified trajectories show that walking and cycling account for approximately 65% of total travel time but only 2% of total distance and 1.7% of CO2 emissions, whereas motorized modes generate more than 98% of emissions. Buses contribute nearly four times more CO2 than private vehicles, despite carrying a larger passenger volume. The proposed framework delivers detailed, policy-relevant indicators to support low-carbon urban transport strategies.

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Cite This Study

Rivera et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69a288170a974eb0d3c04086https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos17030246
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