Background: Vietnam is one of few remaining countries without a pediatric pneumococcal National Immunization Program (NIP). However, four pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) are available in Vietnam: 10-, 13-, 15-, and 20-valent PCVs (PCV10, PCV13, PCV15 and PCV20). Given the availability of multiple PCVs, selecting an optimal vaccination strategy is challenging. This paper aims to estimate the vaccination impact of these PCVs, with and without the implementation of a pediatric NIP, to inform decision-makers and healthcare providers. Methods: A Markov model was adapted to evaluate the impact of all vaccines administered under a 3 + 1 schedule (50% vaccine uptake with direct protection assumed only) and a hypothetical scenario including PCVs 2 + 1 in Vietnam’s pediatric NIP (90% uptake with both direct and indirect protection) from a payer’s perspective. For each scenario, we performed stepwise comparisons of each vaccine with the next higher-valent option: PCV13 versus PCV10, PCV15 versus PCV13, and PCV20 versus PCV15. Results: Under the 3 + 1 schedule, PCV13 and PCV20 were cost-effective versus PCV10 and PCV15, respectively. PCV15, however, was not cost-effective versus PCV13, though offering greater health benefit but at a higher total cost. Under the 2 + 1 schedule, PCV13 remained cost-effective over PCV10, while PCV15 was not cost-effective relative to PCV13. PCV20 was dominant over PCV15. Sensitivity analyses demonstrated results consistent with both reference cases. Conclusions: Vaccinating infants in Vietnam through the private market or an NIP with PCV13 or PCV20 was estimated to be more cost-effective or cost saving than strategies based on PCV10 or PCV15, respectively. These findings provide valuable evidence to inform policy decisions.
Huang et al. (2026) studied this question.