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March 2, 20260 citationsOpen Access

Nonlinear Differential Equations Framework for Power-Grid Forecasting in Uganda Using Finite-Element Discretization with Error Bounds Analysis

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KMKizza Mukasa

Key Points

  • This research aims to develop a reliable framework for forecasting power-grid dynamics using nonlinear differential equations.
  • Applied finite-element methods to discretize nonlinear differential equations governing power-grid dynamics.
  • Conducted numerical simulations to analyze spatial variations and discontinuities.
  • Performed error analysis to evaluate the accuracy of forecasts under finite-element approximation.
  • The framework proved feasible for accurate forecasting in Uganda's complex power grid environment.
  • Analytical results showed potential for improving grid stability and reliability predictions.
  • Recommendations include further empirical validation and exploration of error bounds analysis improvements.

Abstract

Nonlinear differential equations are essential in modelling complex systems such as power grids, which exhibit nonlinearity due to interactions between various components like generators and loads. Finite-element methods are employed to discretize the nonlinear differential equations governing the power-grid dynamics, enabling numerical simulations that account for spatial variations and discontinuities. Error analysis is conducted to assess the reliability of these forecasts under finite-element approximation. Theoretical analysis and finite-element simulation results demonstrate the feasibility of applying nonlinear differential equations for accurate power-grid forecasting in Uganda's complex grid environment. The framework provides a robust method for improving grid stability and reliability predictions. Recommend further empirical validation through real-world data integration, alongside exploring potential improvements to the error bounds analysis technique. The analytical core is yₜ=F (xₜ;) with =argmin_L (), and convergence is established under standard smoothness conditions.

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Cite This Study

Kizza Mukasa (2005) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69a52e04f1e85e5c73bf1454https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18812987
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