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March 3, 20260 citationsOpen Access

Confidence-Calibrated Adaptive Learning: An Integrated Adaptive Engine for Professional Exam Preparation

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APAnthony Perry

Key Points

  • The main aim is to develop an adaptive learning engine that uses confidence judgments to enhance exam preparation.
  • Developed an integrated adaptive engine with six subsystems
  • Applied across 20 production applications in four professional domains
  • Included over 55,000 exam items for diverse learner engagement
  • Enhanced learning outcomes through asymmetric scoring and spaced repetition
  • Improved misconception detection with a focus on high-confidence errors
  • Provided accurate readiness predictions aligned with Bloom's taxonomy

Abstract

We present an adaptive learning engine that elevates binary confidence judgments to a primary adaptive signal driving six interdependent subsystems: asymmetric scoring, confidence-modulated spaced repetition, misconception detection via high-confidence errors, review prioritization, multi-factor readiness prediction, and Bloom's-aligned assessment. The engine is deployed across 20 production applications in four professional domains with over 55,000 items. Submitted to AIED ?2026 Late Breaking Results.

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Anthony Perry (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69a67ec3f353c071a6f0a3b6https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18820461
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