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March 3, 2026Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment2 citationsOpen Access

Comparative evaluation of seven precipitation products in rainfall estimation over tropical Peninsular Malaysia

CNCia Yik NgUniversity of MalayaFOFaridah OthmanUniversity of MalayaWJWan Zurina Wan Jaafar

Key Points

  • Overall, IMERG is identified as the best-performing product for rainfall estimation in tropical regions.
  • Comparative analysis reveals substantial spatial inconsistencies across all evaluated precipitation products during 2014–2019.
  • Performance assessments utilized various continuous and categorical error metrics to evaluate rainfall accuracy at daily and seasonal timescales.
  • Limitations include weak correlation and misrepresentation of seasonal rainfall distribution, especially in drier areas.

Abstract

Accurate quantification of rainfall is essential for climate assessments and disaster risk reduction. This study compares the performance of seven precipitation products in rainfall estimation against a dense rain gauge network over Peninsular Malaysia during 2014–2019. Assessments were conducted at daily and seasonal timescales using both continuous and categorical error metrics to examine spatiotemporal accuracy. The ability of each product to represent rainfall climatology, including the annual cycle and interannual extremes, was also investigated. In point-to-grid comparisons, MSWEP and IMERG exhibit good point-scale accuracy, though substantial spatial inconsistencies persist across all products. IMERG and CMORPH are the most skillful in replicating daily rainfall dynamics based on the modified Kling–Gupta efficiency and demonstrate more balanced categorical performance in detecting rain events. However, weak correlation remains a key limitation across all products. Spatiotemporal analysis reveals higher skills in wetter regions but lower skills in drier regions across all timescales, suggesting a magnitude-dependent error structure. Most products fail to replicate seasonal shifts in rainfall distribution, especially for lower and moderate intensity classes. While rainfall climatology is misrepresented in terms of magnitude, temporal variability is reasonably tracked. Overall, IMERG emerges as the best-performing product. The collective findings shed light on the reliability of precipitation products in estimating tropical rainfall for water resources management purposes. Future work should quantify uncertainty propagation in rainfall–runoff processes and characterize cross-correlation structures between rainfall and atmospheric drivers.

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Cite This Study

Ng et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69a75e95c6e9836116a2952ahttps://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-025-03166-y
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