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March 4, 20260 citationsOpen Access

Machine Learning Models for Climate Prediction and Adaptation in Egyptian Contexts,

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OSOsman El SayedAMAmira Mahmoud

Key Points

  • This research aims to develop machine learning models for predicting climate-related temperature changes in Egypt.
  • Utilized machine learning techniques, specifically Random Forest regression, to model temperature anomalies.
  • Quantified uncertainty using a 95% confidence interval.
  • Evaluated model performance through out-of-sample error assessments.
  • Achieved an accuracy of 82% in predicting temperature changes.
  • Estimated uncertainty interval for predictions ranged from -1.5°C to +1.5°C.
  • Demonstrated models' potential for aiding agricultural planning through accurate temperature forecasts.

Abstract

This Data Descriptor focuses on machine learning models for climate prediction and adaptation in Egyptian contexts. Machine learning techniques, specifically Random Forest regression, were employed to model temperature anomalies. Uncertainty was quantified using a 95% confidence interval. The models predicted temperature changes with an accuracy of 82%, and the uncertainty interval for predictions ranged from -1. 5°C to +1. 5°C. The machine learning models demonstrated promising predictive capabilities, particularly in forecasting temperature anomalies crucial for agricultural planning. Further research should explore ensemble methods to improve model robustness and incorporate socio-economic data for more comprehensive adaptation plans. Machine Learning, Climate Prediction, Random Forest, Agricultural Adaptation, Egypt Model estimation used =argmin_ᵢ (yᵢ, f_ (xᵢ) ) +₂², with performance evaluated using out-of-sample error.

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Cite This Study

Sayed et al. (2006) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69a7cd6ed48f933b5eed9d2chttps://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18831835
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