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March 7, 2026Journal of Intelligent & Robotic Systems2 citationsOpen Access

Probabilistic Human Intent Prediction for Mobile Manipulation: An Evaluation with Human-Inspired Constraints

CCCesar Alan ContrerasMCManolis ChiouARAlireza Rastegarpanah

Key Points

  • The goal is to develop a probabilistic framework for predicting human intent in mobile manipulation without predefined goals.
  • Developed GUIDER, a dual-phase intent prediction framework.
  • Combined a synergy map with motion evidence and occupancy grid for area ranking during navigation.
  • Merged e.g., U^2-Net and FastSAM saliency with geometric grasp feasibility tests for manipulation.
  • Conducted 100 teleoperation trials in Isaac Sim with participants performing five tasks.
  • Ablation studies assessed the importance of various components of GUIDER.
  • GUIDER outperformed baseline methods in stability during navigation and manipulation tasks.
  • Achieved 100% median stability across navigation tasks, while baseline BOIR fell to approx. 89.85%.
  • In redirection tasks, GUIDER showed significant improvement (stable 100% vs. BOIR's 59.67-63.49%).
  • GUIDER provided earlier confident predictions in geometry-constrained situations (19.42 seconds advantage).
  • Ablations confirmed the necessity of synergy maps and grasp feasibility checks.

Abstract

Abstract We present GUIDER (Global User Intent Dual-phase Estimation for Robots), a dual-phase probabilistic framework for intent inference in mobile manipulation that operates without predefined goals. A Synergy Map fuses motion evidence with an occupancy grid to rank likely interaction areas during navigation. After arrival, perception merges U ^2 2 -Net and FastSAM saliency with three geometric grasp-feasibility tests; an end-effector kinematics-aware update then evolves object probabilities in real time. In 100 teleoperation trials (20 participants × 5 tasks) in Isaac Sim, GUIDER outperformed baselines. During navigation, median stability was 100% across tasks (BOIR, the baseline, had an overall median of 89. 85%), with large gains under redirection (BOIR 59. 67–63. 49% in T2/T5). During manipulation, median stability was 100% in all tasks, while Trajectron (manipulation baseline) dropped to 62. 68% for tool grasping (T4). GUIDER yielded earlier confident object predictions in geometry-constrained settings (T5: 20. 31 s remaining vs 3. 89 s). Ablations confirm the need for the multi-horizon synergy map, the grasp-feasibility checks, and temporal end-effector probability evolution. GUIDER provides a unified probabilistic backbone spanning base and arm, supporting future variable-autonomy controllers.

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Cite This Study

Contreras et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69abc1c65af8044f7a4eabc7https://doi.org/10.1007/s10846-026-02362-4
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