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March 10, 20260 citationsOpen Access

Time-Series Forecasting in Tanzanian Industrial Machinery Fleets: A Replication Study

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SKShinyere KibetMTMawanda TuyembeKMKamasi Mwakalunga

Key Points

  • The study aims to develop a robust time-series forecasting model to assess yield improvements in Tanzanian industrial machinery fleets.
  • Utilized a structured analytical approach integrating formal modeling and domain evidence.
  • Established verifiable assumptions for the forecasting model.
  • Assessed model stability and convergence under specific perturbations.
  • Demonstrated bounded error under perturbation in the forecasting model.
  • Confirmed a stable link between the proposed metric and observed maintenance outcomes.
  • Provided a reproducible analytical framework for future studies.

Abstract

This study addresses a current research gap in Engineering concerning Methodological evaluation of industrial machinery fleets systems in Tanzania: time-series forecasting model for measuring yield improvement in Tanzania. The objective is to formulate a rigorous model, state verifiable assumptions, and derive results with direct analytical or practical implications. A structured analytical approach was used, integrating formal modelling with domain evidence. The results establish bounded error under perturbation, a convergent estimation process under stated assumptions, and a stable link between the proposed metric and observed outcomes. The findings provide a reproducible analytical basis for subsequent theoretical and applied extensions. Stakeholders should prioritise inclusive, locally grounded strategies and improve data transparency. Methodological evaluation of industrial machinery fleets systems in Tanzania: time-series forecasting model for measuring yield improvement, Tanzania, Africa, Engineering, replication study This work contributes a formal specification, transparent assumptions, and mathematically interpretable claims. The maintenance outcome was modelled as Y₈ₓ=₀+₁X₈ₓ+uᵢ+₈ₓ, with robustness checked using heteroskedasticity-consistent errors.

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Cite This Study

Kibet et al. (2010) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69af952b70916d39fea4c655https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18908055
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