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March 12, 2026BMC Cancer1 citationsOpen Access

The prognostic value analysis of PIV, PLR, LMR, NPR, and NLR in hilar cholangiocarcinoma

HGHongyang GuoXBXueyan BaiJSJin Shi

Key Points

  • This research aims to analyze the prognostic value of several preoperative inflammatory biomarkers in predicting early recurrence in hilar cholangiocarcinoma.
  • Conducted a retrospective cohort study with 373 patients undergoing radical resection for HCCA.
  • Divided patients into training set (236) for model development and validation set (137) for testing.
  • Collected baseline characteristics and preoperative inflammatory marker data in both sets.
  • Employed univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses, Kaplan-Meier curves, and ROC curves to assess prognostic capabilities.
  • Higher PIV, PLR, NLR, NPR were linked to early recurrence, while lower LMR was associated with it.
  • In multivariable Cox models, PLR, NLR, and NPR were independent predictors of early recurrence, while PIV was not.
  • Kaplan-Meier curves confirmed reduced recurrence-free survival (RFS) for patients with higher PIV, PLR, NLR, and NPR, or lower LMR.
  • The combined model of all five markers achieved higher AUCs (0.857 training, 0.908 validation) than individual markers (AUCs 0.616–0.637).

Abstract

Hilar cholangiocarcinoma (HCCA) has a high propensity for early recurrence. We evaluated the prognostic value of preoperative inflammatory biomarkers, Pan‑Immunological Value (PIV), Platelet‑Lymphocyte Ratio (PLR), Lymphocyte‑Monocyte Ratio (LMR), Neutrophil‑Platelet Ratio (NPR), and Neutrophil‑Lymphocyte Ratio (NLR), in resected HCCA. A retrospective cohort study included 373 HCCA patients undergoing radical resection from January 2017 to May 2022. Patients treated between January 2017 and December 2020 were assigned to the training set (n = 236) for model development. Those treated between January 2021 and May 2022 were assigned to the independent temporal validation set (n = 137), this split approximates a 6:4 ratio. Baseline characteristics were comparable between sets (all P > 0.05). Patients were categorized based on one-year recurrence-free survival (RFS) into early and non-early recurrence groups. Clinical, pathological, and preoperative inflammatory marker data were collected. Statistical analyses included univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression, Kaplan-Meier curves, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis to assess the prognostic value of the inflammatory markers. In univariate analysis, higher PIV, PLR, NLR, NPR and lower LMR were associated with early recurrence (all P < 0.05). To avoid statistical collinearity, separate multivariable Cox models were constructed, each adjusting for clinicopathological factors but including only one inflammatory marker. In these models, PLR (HR = 1.026, P = 0.026), NLR (HR = 1.523, P = 0.011), NPR (HR = 1.831, P = 0.010), and LMR (HR = 0.483, P = 0.001) remained independent predictors of early recurrence; PIV did not (HR = 1.001, P = 0.425). Kaplan‑Meier curves confirmed shorter RFS for patients with high PIV, PLR, NLR, NPR or low LMR (all log‑rank P < 0.001). The combined model integrating all five markers achieved AUCs of 0.857 (training) and 0.908 (validation), outperforming individual markers (AUCs 0.616–0.637). The combined predictive model integrating inflammatory markers PIV, PLR, NLR, NPR, and LMR shows improved prognostic accuracy in HCCA, potentially providing clinically actionable stratification alongside traditional clinical parameters.

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Cite This Study

Guo et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69b2579096eeacc4fcec6478https://doi.org/10.1186/s12885-026-15812-x
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