The Brazilian semi-arid Northeast covers approximately 12% of the national territory and contains one of the country's most severe zones of water vulnerability. Despite the region’s recurrent droughts, a substantial body of scientific research and investigative journalism indicates that the persistence of water scarcity cannot be explained primarily by climatic conditions. Rather, the problem is deeply rooted in political structures, historical patterns of regional inequality, and institutional arrangements that have long governed the management and distribution of water resources. This paper examines the phenomenon historically described as the “drought industry” (indústria da seca)—a concept originally formulated by the Brazilian journalist and writer Antônio Callado in the 1960s and later reinforced in the structural analyses of regional underdevelopment produced by the economist Celso Furtado. The concept refers to a system in which recurrent droughts become politically and economically instrumentalized, allowing regional elites and segments of the political class to extract resources, consolidate patronage networks, and maintain electoral influence through the control of emergency aid and water distribution. The study analyzes how this historical structure continues to manifest itself in contemporary governance. Particular attention is given to mechanisms such as water clientelism, the political use of parliamentary budget amendments for drought-related infrastructure, systematic cost overruns and delays in large-scale hydraulic projects, and the oligarchic control of water-truck distribution networks that supply rural communities during drought emergencies. A central case in this discussion is the large-scale infrastructure initiative known as the São Francisco River Transposition, frequently presented as a structural solution to water scarcity but widely criticized for its high financial costs, uneven distributional benefits, and vulnerability to political capture.
Zen Revista (2026) studied this question.