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March 12, 20260 citationsOpen Access

Asymptotic Analysis and Identifiability Checks in Graph Theory for Power-Grid Forecasting in Nigeria

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OIObiora IfeyinfaIOIfeyinna ObioraCEChibuezhukwu Emechebe

Key Points

  • This research aims to analyze and improve power grid forecasting methods in Nigeria using graph theory.
  • Utilized graph theory principles to model the power grid behavior.
  • Conducted asymptotic analysis on large-scale networks using stochastic processes.
  • Performed identifiability checks to ensure unique determination of model parameters from data.
  • Undertook an empirical study on a representative Nigerian power grid to validate findings.
  • Significant convergence in network behavior observed over time, supporting theoretical predictions.
  • Enhanced accuracy in forecasting the future supply of electricity confirmed in the empirical study.

Abstract

Graph theory is a fundamental tool in network analysis, offering insights into complex systems such as power grids. In Nigeria, understanding and predicting power grid behaviour is crucial for ensuring reliable electricity supply. Graph theory principles, including node and edge representations, were utilised. Asymptotic analysis was conducted using stochastic processes for large-scale networks. Identifiability checks ensured that the model parameters could be uniquely determined from observable data. An empirical study on a representative Nigerian power grid revealed significant convergence in network behaviour over time, supporting the theoretical predictions. The findings confirm the effectiveness of graph theory in forecasting, with notable improvements in accuracy for future electricity supply planning. Further research should focus on integrating real-time data into the models to enhance predictive capabilities and ensure grid stability. Graph Theory, Power Grid Forecasting, Asymptotic Analysis, Identifiability Checks The analytical core is yₜ=F (xₜ;) with =argmin_L (), and convergence is established under standard smoothness conditions.

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Cite This Study

Ifeyinfa et al. (2011) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69b2589696eeacc4fcec863chttps://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18928512
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