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March 13, 20260 citationsOpen Access

Methodological Evaluation and Panel-Data Estimation of Power-Distribution Equipment Cost-Effectiveness in Senegal, 2000–2026

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ADAliou Diop

Key Points

  • The research assesses the cost-effectiveness of power-distribution equipment in Senegal using panel-data methods to inform asset management.
  • Constructed a balanced panel dataset from utility records and procurement databases.
  • Applied a generalized least squares estimator with fixed effects for equipment types and regions.
  • Modelled total lifecycle cost based on failure rate, age, and maintenance expenditures.
  • Transformers showed a 3.2% reduction in lifecycle costs with a 10% increase in preventive maintenance.
  • Certain conductor types exhibited higher failure-induced costs than earlier estimates.
  • Panel-data analysis revealed significant variability in cost-effectiveness among equipment classes.

Abstract

"background": "The economic sustainability of power-distribution infrastructure in sub-Saharan Africa is a critical engineering challenge. Existing cost-effectiveness analyses often lack robust, longitudinal methodologies, leading to suboptimal investment planning and asset management. ", "purpose and objectives": "This study aims to develop and apply a novel panel-data econometric framework to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of key power-distribution equipment in a West African context, providing evidence for lifecycle cost modelling and capital planning. ", "methodology": "A balanced panel dataset for transformers, switchgear, and conductors was constructed from utility records and procurement databases. Cost-effectiveness was modelled using a generalised least squares estimator with fixed effects for regions and equipment types. The core model is C{it = \ + \1 Fit + \2 Ait + \3 Mit + \ + \₈ₓ, where C is total lifecycle cost, F is failure rate, A is age, and M is maintenance expenditure. Robust standard errors were clustered at the equipment-cohort level. ", "findings": "Transformer assets demonstrated superior long-term cost-effectiveness, with a 10% increase in preventive maintenance expenditure associated with a 3. 2% reduction in total lifecycle cost (95% CI: 2. 1% to 4. 3%). Conversely, certain conductor types showed significantly higher failure-induced costs than previously estimated. ", "conclusion": "The panel-data approach provides a more rigorous basis for evaluating distribution equipment performance than static models. Significant heterogeneity exists in the cost-effectiveness of different asset classes, influenced strongly by maintenance regimes. ", "recommendations": "Utilities should prioritise investment in predictive maintenance for transformers and review specifications for overhead conductors. The methodological framework should be adopted for long-term infrastructure planning to optimise capital and operational expenditure. ", "key words": "power distribution, cost-effectiveness, panel data, asset management, lifecycle costing, econometric modelling", "contribution statement

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Aliou Diop (2005) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69b3abf602a1e69014ccd409https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18964174
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