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March 14, 2026Climate Risk Management0 citationsOpen Access

Enhancing drought resilience: An index insurance scheme for West African pastoralists

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EEEnrique Estefania-SalazarEIEva Iglesias

Key Points

  • Assess the effectiveness of an index insurance scheme for West African pastoralists to enhance drought resilience.
  • Conducted a field survey with 1,725 herders across Senegal, Mali, Niger, and Burkina Faso
  • Developed an index insurance model to protect against drought-related losses
  • Delineated homogeneous insurance zones covering 12 West African countries
  • Analyzed basis risk and economic welfare using expected utility framework
  • Demonstrated significant reductions in basis risk with the new insurance model
  • Showed potential to lower the loading factor by 50% through risk pooling
  • Found that a 50% subsidy could lead to nearly 99% program participation

Abstract

Drought risk and climate change pose significant threats to the livelihoods of over 50 million pastoralists in West Africa, whose primary economic activity relies on livestock production. The absence of insurance coverage exacerbates productivity constraints and hinders technological advancement in developing countries. In this study, we propose an index-based insurance scheme designed to protect pastoralists against drought-related losses. We conducted a field survey among 1,725 herders in Senegal, Mali, Niger, and Burkina Faso to evaluate losses from drought and calibrate the index insurance model. As opposed to most index insurance programs which rely on pre-established administrative or ethnic boundaries as insurance zones, we use an innovative methodological approach that minimizes spatial basis risk. We delineate homogeneous insurance zones across 12 West African countries covering an area of 2.6 million km 2 and calculate actuarially fair premiums for each insurance zone. Additionally, we assess the suitability of index insurance programs by analyzing basis risk and evaluating improvements in economic welfare through an expected utility framework. We also analyze how pooling the risk through a regional approach can reduce the loading factor up to 50%. Finally, we simulate the effect of premium subsidies on program participation and find that with a 50% subsidy, nearly 99% of the territory would benefit from purchasing an insurance policy.

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Cite This Study

Estefania-Salazar et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69b4b9eb18185d8a39802345https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2026.100808
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