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March 14, 20260 citationsOpen Access

A Difference-in-Differences Model for Manufacturing Systems Efficiency: A Methodological Evaluation of South African Plants (2000–2024)

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PMPieter van der MerweKMK. MokoenaUniversity of the WitwatersrandAPAnika Pretorius

Key Points

  • This research aims to evaluate the effectiveness and methodological soundness of the difference-in-differences model in assessing manufacturing efficiency in South African plants.
  • Used a longitudinal panel dataset from manufacturing plants.
  • Distinguished between treatment and control groups for analysis.
  • Applied a difference-in-differences statistical model to estimate efficiency gains.
  • Inferred data using cluster-robust standard errors to account for correlations.
  • The parallel trends assumption was validated for core productivity metrics but violated for energy intensity.
  • Estimated overall equipment effectiveness (OEE) increased by 7.5 percentage points with a confidence interval of [5.2, 9.8].
  • Identifying a valid control group and handling intermittent treatment adoption posed practical challenges.

Abstract

"background": "Evaluating the impact of technological and managerial interventions on manufacturing systems efficiency requires robust quasi-experimental methods. The difference-in-differences (DiD) model is widely applied in econometrics but its methodological rigour and assumptions are less frequently scrutinised within industrial engineering contexts, particularly in developing economies. ", "purpose and objectives": "This case study aims to methodologically evaluate the application of the DiD model for measuring efficiency gains within manufacturing plants. It assesses the model's suitability, key assumptions, and practical implementation challenges in this specific industrial setting. ", "methodology": "The study employs a longitudinal panel dataset from a sample of plants, distinguishing between treatment and control groups. The core statistical model is specified as Y{it = \0 + \1 + \2 + \ (\) + \₈ₓ, where \ is the average treatment effect. Inference is based on cluster-robust standard errors at the plant level to account for serial correlation. ", "findings": "The methodological evaluation reveals that the parallel trends assumption, critical for DiD validity, held for core productivity metrics but was violated for energy intensity. The estimated average treatment effect on overall equipment effectiveness (OEE) was a 7. 5 percentage point increase, with a 95% confidence interval of 5. 2, 9. 8. Practical challenges included defining a valid control group and managing intermittent treatment adoption. ", "conclusion": "The DiD model provides a structured framework for causal inference in manufacturing efficiency studies, but its application demands rigorous pre-testing of assumptions and careful design to ensure the control group is appropriate. Its strength lies in accounting for time-invariant unobserved confounders. ", "recommendations": "Practitioners should formally test the parallel trends assumption using pre-intervention data and consider staggered adoption designs. Future research should explore synthetic control

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Cite This Study

Merwe et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69b4fb8db39f7826a300bd73https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18971870
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