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March 15, 2026Frontiers in Endocrinology0 citationsOpen Access

Metabolic syndrome and the risk of perioperative ischemic stroke in non-cardiac surgery: a case-control retrospective study

MQMengyao QuYHYanan HeLYLu Yu

Key Result

Metabolic syndrome was associated with a 2.18-fold increased risk of perioperative ischemic stroke compared to patients without metabolic syndrome.

Key Points

  • To investigate the association between metabolic syndrome and the risk of perioperative ischemic stroke in non-cardiac surgery patients.
  • Conducted a case-control study with 139,191 participants from non-cardiac surgery patients.
  • Performed univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses to assess the association between metabolic syndrome and PIS.
  • Applied propensity score matching and inverse probability of treatment weighting to control for confounding variables.
  • Conducted subgroup and sensitivity analyses to confirm result robustness.
  • Out of 139,191 participants, 328 (0.24%) experienced perioperative ischemic stroke.
  • Patients with metabolic syndrome had a 2.18-fold increased risk of perioperative ischemic stroke.
  • Odds ratios for metabolic syndrome in PSM and IPTW models were 1.41 and 1.35, respectively.
  • Subgroup analyses confirmed the significant association between metabolic syndrome and PIS.

Study Design

Type

Case-Control (n=139,191)

Multicenter

Yes

Structured PICO

Does metabolic syndrome increase the risk of perioperative ischemic stroke in adult patients undergoing non-cardiac surgery?

P
Population
139,191 adults (aged ≥18 years) undergoing non-cardiac surgery under general anesthesia (duration >60 minutes) at the Chinese PLA General Hospital between 2008 and 2019.
I
Intervention
Presence of Metabolic Syndrome (MetS), defined as meeting ≥3 of 5 criteria: BMI ≥25 kg/m², elevated fasting glucose (≥5.6 mmol/L or known diabetes), elevated blood pressure (≥130/85 mmHg or antihypertensive treatment), elevated triglycerides (≥1.7 mmol/L), and reduced HDL-C (<1.0 mmol/L in men or <1.3 mmol/L in women).
C
Comparator
Absence of Metabolic Syndrome (patients without MetS).
O
Outcome
Perioperative ischemic stroke (PIS) with motor, sensory, or cognitive dysfunction lasting at least 24 hours, occurring intraoperatively or within 30 days after surgery (identified via ICD-9-CM/ICD-10-CM diagnosis codes).hard clinical

Metabolic syndrome is an independent predictor of perioperative ischemic stroke in non-cardiac surgical patients, driven primarily by elevated blood pressure and glucose.

Main Result

Effect estimate: OR 2.177 (95% CI 1.736-2.72)

Absolute Event Rate: 0.4% vs 0.19%

p-value: p=<0.001

Limitations

  • ICD-based identification of PIS may introduce misclassification as discharge coding can miss clinically subtle strokes or conflate ischemic with hemorrhagic events
  • No formal local chart review validation was performed
  • Retrospective design
  • 84,224 patients were excluded due to missing MetS component data (primarily HDL-C values)

Abstract

Background Perioperative ischemic stroke (PIS), although rare, is a devastating complication following surgery. Metabolic syndrome (MetS), also known as insulin resistance syndrome, is characterized by obesity, diabetes, hypertension and dyslipidemia. MetS has been reported to be associated with surgical complications. However, the association between PIS and MetS remains unclear. Methods We conducted a case-control study by selecting 139,191 participants from 223,415 non-cardiac surgery patients at the Chinese PLA General Hospital between 2008 and 2019. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to examine the association of MetS and PIS. Propensity score matching (PSM) and inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) were applied to address the potential confounding effects of covariates. Subgroup and sensitivity analyses were performed to verify the robustness of the association between MetS and PIS. Results Among 139,191 participants, 328 (0.24%) developed PIS. Participants with MetS had a 2.18-fold increased risk of PIS. In the PSM and IPTW models, the odds ratios for MetS were 1.41 and 1.35, respectively. Subgroup analyses showed that the association remained significant. In sensitivity analyses, the results remained robust after excluding patients on specific medications and those with a prognostic nutrition index (PNI) less than 38.8. Conclusions This study confirms MetS as an independent predictor of PIS among non-cardiac surgical patients in China, with elevated blood pressure and glucose as the principal drivers of this association. Abnormal parameters in MetS, especially elevated glucose levels and elevated blood pressure, are significantly associated with increased odds of PIS. Surgical patients with MetS require increased attention to PIS prevention.

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Cite This Study

Qu et al. (2026) conducted a case-control in metabolic syndrome (n=139,191). Metabolic syndrome vs. Patients without metabolic syndrome was evaluated on Incidence of perioperative ischemic stroke (PIS) (OR 2.177, 95% CI 1.736-2.72, p=<0.001). Metabolic syndrome was associated with a 2.18-fold increased risk of perioperative ischemic stroke compared to patients without metabolic syndrome.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69b64c33b42794e3e660d899https://doi.org/10.3389/fendo.2026.1785277
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