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March 18, 2026Journal of Electric Propulsion0 citationsOpen Access

Correlation and causation and time-lagged phase portrait analysis of discharge current and plume ion flux in a hall thruster as a function of facility operating pressure

AKAjay KrishnanNBNaia Butler-CraigDLDan Lev

Key Points

  • The research aims to analyze and establish the correlation and causation between discharge current and plume ion flux in a Hall effect thruster at varying operating pressures.
  • Characterization of discharge current and plume ion flux oscillations using krypton propellant.
  • Application of extended convergent cross mapping (eCCM) technique for correlation and causation validation.
  • Construction of time-lagged phase portraits (TLPPs) to assess the influence of operating pressure on discharge current and ion flux.
  • A high positive correlation (0.9547) is found between discharge current and ion flux, decreasing with increased operating pressure.
  • Discharge current is inferred to influence ion flux due to electron density oscillations within the thruster.
  • Distinct TLPPs are observed, with Earth mover's distance (EMD) values increasing with pressure, indicating unique operating states.

Abstract

We characterize discharge current and plume ion flux oscillations of the H9 Hall effect thruster (HET) at the 6-kW, 300 V, and 20 A operating condition, using krypton propellant. Initial time and frequency domain analyses show similarities between discharge current and ion flux. We then use the extended convergent cross mapping (eCCM) technique to validate the discharge current and ion flux dataset by determining their correlation and causation at background vacuum chamber pressures of 6.236, 14.03, 21.83, 28.06, 32.74, and 38.98 µTorr-Kr. We construct time-lagged phase portraits (TLPPs) to provide a unique representation of the H9 HET as a function of the operating pressure and to assess the similarity between discharge current and ion flux. The results show a high, positive correlation between discharge current and ion flux that decreases with increasing operating pressure, with a maximum correlation of 0.9547. Additionally, the discharge current influences the ion flux; this observation matches what one would expect, as ion flux originates within the thruster cavity where electron density oscillations are generated. The correlation results show that the eCCM technique can determine causality in thruster measurements. Furthermore, the TLPPs represent a fingerprint of a HET that can allow one to determine the operating state of the thruster as a function of operating pressure using the Earth mover’s distance (EMD) metric. From the lowest pressure, used as the reference, to the highest pressure, the EMD values are 0, 1.092, 1.672, 1.753, 1.871, and 2.023, showing that each TLPP is indeed distinct.

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Cite This Study

Krishnan et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69ba43764e9516ffd37a4c9fhttps://doi.org/10.1007/s44205-026-00189-7
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