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March 22, 2026International Journal of Oral and Maxillofacial Surgery2 citationsOpen Access

Incidence and risk factors for recurrence, metastasis, and malignant transformation of ameloblastoma

QHQuentin HennocqJBJebrane BouaoudMBMourad Benassarou

Key Points

  • This study aims to evaluate the risk of recurrence of ameloblastoma and identify associated factors, as well as to analyze the risk of malignant transformation.
  • Retrospective analysis of patient records from January 2007 to May 2024
  • Cox survival analysis for recurrence risk assessment
  • Logistic models for identifying risk factors for ameloblastic carcinoma and metastasis
  • Analysis of histological records to assess extraosseous extension
  • Radical surgical treatment significantly reduces recurrence risk (HR 0.048, P = 0.003)
  • Metastasis rate at 5 years is 1% and transformation rate into AC is 3%
  • Histological evidence of extraosseous extension increases the risk of metastasis or AC (HR 3.939, P = 0.043)
  • Closer follow-up with thoracic imaging is recommended for patients with extraosseous extension.

Abstract

The aims of the study were: to estimate the risk of recurrence of ameloblastoma and the factors associated with this risk; to determine the factors that should suggest ameloblastic carcinoma (AC) at diagnosis; and to estimate the rate of metastases or malignant transformation, as well as their risk factors.Records for all patients from our centre followed with ameloblastoma between January 2007 and May 2024 were exhaustively retrieved.Cox survival analysis for an ameloblastoma recurrence was then performed, and logistic models to study the risk of AC at the time of diagnosis and occurrence of metastases or of transformation into AC.A total of 175 patients with histologically proven benign ameloblastoma were included.In multivariate analyses, a radical surgical treatment appeared to be a strong protective factor against recurrence (hazard ratio (HR) 0.048 (0.006-0.365),P = 0.003).The metastases rate and transformation rate into AC at 5 years were 1% (0-2%) and 3% (0-7%), respectively.A histologically confirmed extraosseous extension of the initial ameloblastoma should be considered at risk of metastases or AC during the follow-up (HR 3.939 (1.089-25.06),P = 0.043).Closer follow-up is recommended, including thoracic imaging, in cases of ameloblastoma with extraosseous extension on histological sections.

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Cite This Study

Hennocq et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69bf8641f665edcd009e8c9ehttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijom.2026.03.007
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