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March 23, 2026Frontiers in Remote Sensing0 citationsOpen Access

Study of the changes in the Curonian Lagoon shoreline strip (1995–2024), Lithuania

SLSérgio LousadaMadeira TecnopoloDJDainora JankauskienėLatvia University of Life Sciences and TechnologiesGIGiedrė IvavičiūtėVytautas Magnus University

Key Points

  • This research aims to analyze the shoreline evolution of the Curonian Lagoon over nearly three decades to understand the impacts of climate and local land use.
  • Analyzed multi-temporal orthophotographic series from 1995 to 2024
  • Complemented analysis with a very high-resolution UAV orthomosaic produced in 2024
  • Delineated and compared shoreline positions across eight observation periods to quantify changes
  • Identified hotspot areas for erosion and accumulation
  • Maximum shoreline retreat reached 32.80 m from 1995-1999 to 2024 at the 425 m section
  • Maximum shoreline advance was 18.22 m between 2021-2023 at the 275 m section
  • Erosion losses totaled up to 654 m² from 2018-2020
  • Accumulation gains were up to 395 m² from 2009-2010

Abstract

Coastal lagoons are among the most vulnerable aquatic environments to climate change and human pressures; therefore, studying the Curonian Lagoon is crucial to support evidence-based management and improve understanding of shoreline responses to hydro-meteorological forcing and local land-use pressures. This research investigates the evolution of the Curonian Lagoon shoreline near Preila (Neringa municipality) from 1995 to 2024 using a multi-temporal orthophotographic series (ORT10LT) complemented by a very high-resolution UAV orthomosaic produced in 2024. Shoreline position was consistently delineated and compared across eight observation periods to quantify section-based displacement and hotspot area changes. The analysis reveals a spatially organized pattern, with a persistent accumulation-prone stretch in the mid-profile (250–350 m) and a persistent erosion hotspot toward the latter shoreline (400–566 m). The maximum shoreline retreat reached 32.80 m (425 m section, 2024 relative to 1995–1999), while the maximum shoreline advance reached 18.22 m (275 m section, 2021–2023). Area-based hotspot metrics indicate erosion losses up to 654 m 2 (2018–2020) and accumulation gains up to 395 m 2 (2009–2010) relative to the baseline. These results provide a reproducible, decision-oriented shoreline-change characterization that supports targeted monitoring and management of this culturally and environmentally significant lagoon margin.

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Cite This Study

Lousada et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69c0ddb8fddb9876e79c1153https://doi.org/10.3389/frsen.2026.1786848
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