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March 24, 20260 citationsOpen Access

Deterministic Governance of High-Risk AI Decisions Under Irreversibility Constraints

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YKYASIN KALAFAOGLUTürkisch-Deutsche Universität

Key Points

  • The aim is to develop a governance framework for high-risk AI decisions that considers irreversibility and uncertainty.
  • Introduced a deterministic governance model for AI decision systems.
  • Reframed decision-making as a constrained optimization problem.
  • Integrated probability, impact, irreversibility, and uncertainty into a unified framework.
  • Applied the model across various critical domains, including energy and finance.
  • Demonstrated that constraint-based governance enhances the reliability and safety of AI systems.
  • Showed significant improvements in auditability of AI decision-making processes.
  • Provided a scalable foundation for deploying AI in environments with high risks.

Abstract

This paper introduces a deterministic governance framework for high-risk artificial intelligence decision systems operating under conditions of irreversibility and uncertainty. While existing AI approaches primarily focus on predictive accuracy and post-hoc explainability, they lack formal mechanisms to constrain decision execution in environments where outcomes may be non-recoverable. The proposed model reframes decision-making as a constrained optimization problem, integrating probability, impact, irreversibility, and uncertainty into a unified risk function. A governance threshold is introduced to enforce admissibility conditions prior to execution, transforming AI systems from prediction-driven architectures into controlled decision systems. The framework is model-agnostic and can be applied across critical domains such as energy infrastructure, financial systems, and large-scale logistics. By separating predictive intelligence from execution authority, the approach enhances reliability, auditability, and systemic safety. This work contributes a mathematically grounded and operationally applicable solution to one of the most pressing challenges in AI governance: how to prevent the execution of high-risk decisions before irreversible consequences occur. The results demonstrate that constraint-based governance provides a scalable and robust foundation for deploying AI in high-impact environments.

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Cite This Study

YASIN KALAFAOGLU (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69c2299aaeb5a845df0d43d1https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19158308
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  5. 5Irreversibility Constrained Decision Theory for Human and AI Systems: Moral Reversibility, Epistemic Constraints, and Harm Bounded Authority Allocation2026