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March 30, 2026Review of Financial Studies2 citations

Who Bears Flood Risk? Evidence from Mortgage Markets in Florida

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PSParinitha Sastry

Key Points

  • Examine how mortgage lenders assess flood risk and affect credit supply in flood zones.
  • Analyzed impact of flood insurance coverage limits
  • Explored staggered flood map updates
  • Investigated lender requirements for loan-to-value ratios
  • Credit rationing equalizes delinquency rates inside and outside flood zones
  • Mortgage borrowers in flood zones trend wealthier and higher credit quality
  • Lenders reduce credit supply when faced with uninsured flood risk

Abstract

Abstract Government-provided flood insurance contracts have strict coverage limits, leaving some households underinsured against flood risk. This paper exploits these strict coverage limits as well as staggered flood map updates to show that mortgage lenders screen for uninsurable flood risk by requiring lower loan-to-value ratios at origination. This credit rationing leads delinquency rates to equalize inside and outside of flood zones, and shifts the composition of mortgage borrowers in flood zones toward richer and higher credit quality individuals. I conclude that lenders reduce credit supply when they retain residual uninsured exposures to flood risk, which has distributional consequences for flood zones.

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Cite This Study

Parinitha Sastry (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69c9c5a4f8fdd13afe0bd897https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhag030
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