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January 1, 1999Journal of Personality and Social Psychology7,096 citations

Unskilled and unaware of it: How difficulties in recognizing one's own incompetence lead to inflated self-assessments.

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JKJustin KrugerDDDavid Dunning

Key Points

  • To examine whether individuals lacking competence in specific domains also lack the metacognitive ability to accurately assess their own performance.
  • Conducted 4 experimental studies evaluating participant performance and comparative self-evaluations across humor, grammar, and logic tasks.
  • Assessed metacognitive skill via the capacity to distinguish accuracy from error, and tested the effect of skill-improvement interventions on self-assessment accuracy.
  • Participants scoring in the bottom quartile (actual mean: 12th percentile) estimated their performance to be in the 62nd percentile.
  • Overestimation was systematically driven by deficits in metacognitive ability to evaluate task competence.
  • Training interventions that improved domain skill paradoxically increased metacognitive competence and reduced inflated self-assessments.

Abstract

People tend to hold overly favorable views of their abilities in many social and intellectual domains. The authors suggest that this overestimation occurs, in part, because people who are unskilled in these domains suffer a dual burden: Not only do these people reach erroneous conclusions and make unfortunate choices, but their incompetence robs them of the metacognitive ability to realize it. Across 4 studies, the authors found that participants scoring in the bottom quartile on tests of humor, grammar, and logic grossly overestimated their test performance and ability. Although their test scores put them in the 12th percentile, they estimated themselves to be in the 62nd. Several analyses linked this miscalibration to deficits in metacognitive skill, or the capacity to distinguish accuracy from error. Paradoxically, improving the skills of participants, and thus increasing their metacognitive competence, helped them recognize the limitations of their abilities.

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Cite This Study

Kruger et al. (1999) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69d7ade1dcc7b92a43f30a78https://doi.org/10.1037/0022-3514.77.6.1121
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