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April 11, 20260 citationsOpen Access

A Hydraulic-Thermodynamic Framework for Forest-Climate Coupling

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JMJörg Mayer

Key Points

  • The study aims to develop a framework that integrates the active role of forests in climate systems.
  • Proposed a framework integrating three mechanisms of forest-climate interaction.
  • Utilized Convergent Cross-Mapping (CCM) to assess biotic-atmosphere coupling.
  • Estimated a Planetary Hydraulic Health Index (PHHI) for major forest regions.
  • Found strong evidence (ρ = 0.72) for biotic-atmosphere coupling between forest aerosols and regional precipitation.
  • Identified critical stress in the Maritime Continent with 48% of baseline wind force remaining.
  • The Amazon and Congo basins appear marginally stable at 95–98% of baseline.

Abstract

Current climate models treat forests as passive carbon reservoirs, parameterizing their surface properties but largely missing their active role as planetary hydraulic infrastructure. We propose, for the first time, a framework integrating three previously independent mechanisms into a single physical chain. The three pillars are: (1) the Aerosol Baseline, where intact forests contribute to the preindustrial CCN reference state over continents; (2) the Stomata-Cumulus Pump, where groundwater availability acts as a binary gate for vertical energy export; and (3) the Tradewind Engine, where condensation-driven pressure gradients sustain horizontal atmospheric circulation. Using Convergent Cross-Mapping (CCM) rather than Granger causality, we find evidence for biotic-atmosphere coupling (ρ = 0.72) between forest-derived aerosols and regional precipitation. A preliminary Planetary Hydraulic Health Index (PHHI) suggests critical stress in the Maritime Continent (Borneo: 48% of baseline wind force remaining), while the Amazon and Congo basins appear marginally stable (95–98%). This framework identifies additional mechanisms consistent with the anomalous 2023–2025 warming, complementing established explanations.

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Cite This Study

Jörg Mayer (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69d9e64e78050d08c1b76a64https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19489229
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