Mental fatigue (MF) has been hypothesized to contribute to injury risk in athletes, but observational studies have not directly investigated this relationship. Therefore, the current study evaluates potential relationships between mental fatigue and subsequent injury occurrence in basketball. Using an observational design, we monitored fourteen male semi-professional basketball players (age: 22 ± 4 years; stature: 192.6 ± 8.8 cm; body mass: 85.5 ± 9.1 kg; Tier 3) from a single team for 21 weeks throughout the competitive season. Each week, the players participated in 5 team-based training sessions, 2–4 individual training sessions, and 1–2 official games. Subjective MF ratings were collected using 100 mm visual analogue scales twice a week (the day before and after the official game) and then averaged. Time-loss injuries were registered, noting the body location, mechanism, and context (training and games). Generalized logistic mixed models were employed to evaluate whether MF levels were associated with injury occurrence in the subsequent 1, 3, and 5 days and 1, 2, 3, and 4 weeks of basketball activity. A total of 11 injuries were registered during the study (7.40 per 1000 h of basketball activity), with an average time loss of 12 ± 19 days. There were no associations between MF and injury occurrence in the following 1, 2, 3 or 4 weeks (all p > 0.05, odds ratios: 1.00–1.28). In male semi-professional basketball settings, preliminary evidence indicates that MF might not be associated with injury occurrence. However, due to the dearth of injury events, the statistical power of this study is insufficient to detect potential small–medium effects. Therefore, the current results should be considered exploratory as opposed to a definitive rejection of the hypothesis. Future studies should evaluate the relationship between MF and injury risk in larger samples and among professional athletes.
Sansone et al. (2026) studied this question.