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June 27, 2016Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B (Statistical Methodology)280 citations

Mediation Analysis with time Varying Exposures and Mediators

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TVTyler J. VanderWeeleETEric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

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Abstract

In this paper we consider causal mediation analysis when exposures and mediators vary over time. We give non-parametric identification results, discuss parametric implementation, and also provide a weighting approach to direct and indirect effects based on combining the results of two marginal structural models. We also discuss how our results give rise to a causal interpretation of the effect estimates produced from longitudinal structural equation models. When there are time-varying confounders affected by prior exposure and mediator, natural direct and indirect effects are not identified. However, we define a randomized interventional analogue of natural direct and indirect effects that are identified in this setting. The formula that identifies these effects we refer to as the "mediational g-formula." When there is no mediation, the mediational g-formula reduces to Robins' regular g-formula for longitudinal data. When there are no time-varying confounders affected by prior exposure and mediator values, then the mediational g-formula reduces to a longitudinal version of Pearl's mediation formula. However, the mediational g-formula itself can accommodate both mediation and time-varying confounders and constitutes a general approach to mediation analysis with time-varying exposures and mediators.

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VanderWeele et al. (2016) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69dbcc235b363cdf1c835f1ehttps://doi.org/10.1111/rssb.12194
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