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July 1, 2011American Journal of Agricultural Economics195 citations

Migratory Responses to Agricultural Risk in Northern Nigeria

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ADAndrew DillonVMValerie MuellerSSSheu Salau

Key Points

  • The study explores how Nigerian households respond to agricultural risks by engaging in internal migration.
  • Analyzed migration patterns over a twenty-year period
  • Used temperature degree days as a proxy for agricultural risk
  • Investigated responses to both ex ante and ex post risks
  • Suggestive evidence indicates that households send males to migrate in response to ex ante risks
  • Robust findings confirm that males migrate due to ex post risks
  • Increased migration is anticipated as global climate change heightens agricultural risks

Abstract

We investigate the extent that Nigerian households engage in internal migration to ensure against ex ante and ex post agricultural risk due to weather‐related variability and shocks. We use data on the migration patterns of individuals over a twenty‐year period and temperature degree days to proxy agricultural risk. We find suggestive evidence of household response to ex ante risk by sending males to migrate. Robust findings show that males migrate in response to ex post risk. As global climate change increases risk, these results suggest that increased migration could result as households mitigate risk and strain limited resources in Nigerian cities.

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Cite This Study

Dillon et al. (2011) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69dc2fee3080d3567e27468chttps://doi.org/10.1093/ajae/aar033
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