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April 18, 2026Processes0 citationsOpen Access

Physics-Informed Smart Grid Dispatch Under Renewable Uncertainty: Dynamic Graph Learning, Privacy-Aware Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning, and Causal Intervention Analysis

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YLY K LiuQCQinglin ChengYLYuchun Li

Key Points

  • The aim is to develop a unified dispatch framework for smart grids that addresses renewable energy uncertainty and privacy concerns.
  • Implemented a dynamic graph learning approach to model network coupling.
  • Utilized privacy-aware multi-agent reinforcement learning for optimized task allocation.
  • Incorporated structural causal analysis for interpreting impacts of operational variables.
  • Evaluated performance using a modified IEEE 30-bus system benchmark.
  • Achieved dispatch-cost RMSE of 3.82, significantly improving cost predictions.
  • Reduced locational-price MAE to 2.95, demonstrating enhanced price forecasting.
  • Decreased renewable curtailment to 4.8%, maximizing energy use.
  • Maintained constraint-violation rate at 0.30%, ensuring compliance with engineering limits.

Abstract

High-penetration renewable energy significantly increases uncertainty, dynamic network coupling, and the need for secure and coordinated smart-grid dispatch. To address the limitations of conventional forecasting-based and static graph-based methods, this paper proposes a unified dispatch framework that integrates topology-informed dynamic graph learning, privacy-aware multi-agent symbiotic reinforcement learning, and structural causal intervention analysis. The dispatch problem is formulated as a constrained partially observable stochastic game, in which multiple agents coordinate generation adjustment, reserve allocation, and congestion-aware corrective actions under engineering constraints. A physics-informed dynamic graph convolutional module captures both fixed physical topology and stress-dependent operational couplings, while a KL-regularized multi-agent reinforcement learning scheme improves cooperative task allocation under renewable fluctuations. Federated optimization with Rényi differential privacy is introduced to protect sensitive local operational information during training. In addition, a structural causal module provides intervention-based interpretation of how wind variation, load escalation, and line stress affect dispatch cost, congestion risk, and renewable curtailment. Experiments on a public-trace-driven benchmark based on a modified IEEE 30-bus system show that the proposed method achieves the best overall performance among the compared baselines, reducing dispatch-cost RMSE to 3.82, locational-price MAE to 2.95, renewable curtailment to 4.8%, and the constraint-violation rate to 0.30%. Overall, the framework shows favorable performance on the test benchmark, provides post hoc intervention-based interpretation of dispatch outcomes, and is evaluated under a reproducible benchmark construction and assessment protocol.

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Cite This Study

Liu et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69e3207940886becb653f91fhttps://doi.org/10.3390/pr14081274
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