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April 24, 2026Atmosphere0 citationsOpen Access

High-Resolution PM2.5 and Ozone (O3) Estimates and the Impacts on Human Health and Crop Yields Across Sichuan Basin During 2015–2021

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YSYubing ShenYSYumeng ShaoLZL Zhang

Key Points

  • This research aims to assess the health and agricultural impacts of PM2.5 and ozone pollution in the Sichuan Basin.
  • Developed a multi-source data fusion framework using machine learning to reconstruct pollutant concentrations.
  • Integrated ground observations, meteorological data, chemical transport models, and satellite retrievals for high-resolution estimates.
  • Analyzed spatial and seasonal patterns of PM2.5 and O3 across urban and rural areas.
  • PM2.5 concentrations showed a decreasing trend after 2017, while O3 levels exhibited variability with peaks in 2016 and 2018.
  • PM2.5 was more concentrated in urban areas, whereas O3 was higher in western Sichuan with distinct spatial patterns.
  • Seasonal variations were noted, with PM2.5 increasing in colder months and O3 peaking in warmer months, influenced by weather and emissions.

Abstract

Despite stringent national clean air policies, severe PM2.5 and ozone (O3) pollution persists in some parts of China, notably the Sichuan Basin—a key economic zone in the southwest. High-resolution assessment of the health and crop impacts of these pollutants remains limited in this region. In this study, we developed a multi-source data fusion framework based on a machine learning model to reconstruct daily PM2.5 and O3 concentrations at 1 km resolution during 2015–2021. The model integrates ground observations, meteorological data, chemical transport model outputs, and satellite retrievals. The model performed robustly, achieving R2 values of 0.91 for PM2.5 and 0.64 for O3. PM2.5 exhibited a decreasing tendency after 2017, while O3 showed interannual variability, with peaks in 2016 and 2018. Spatially, PM2.5 was more concentrated in urban centers, whereas O3 showed higher levels in western Sichuan and a banded pattern in the east. Seasonal patterns were also evident: PM2.5 increased in autumn and winter due to meteorological and emission factors, while O3 peaked in spring and summer, driven by photochemistry and high temperatures. Topography and emissions further shaped these distributions, with mountains in the west trapping O3 and urban clusters exacerbating PM2.5. Based on the reconstructed dataset, we further explored the potential impacts of pollutant exposure on human health and crop yields. The results provide a high-resolution dataset for understanding pollutant variability.

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Cite This Study

Shen et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69eb08ef553a5433e34b39f1https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos17050432
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