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April 24, 2026Hypertension Research2 citationsOpen Access

Systolic blood pressure and future stroke risk by asymptomatic brain lesions in a community MRI cohort: a retrospective study

KIKenichi IwasaNONaoki OmoriSAShun Aritake

Key Points

  • The study aims to determine the relationship between systolic blood pressure and stroke risk in individuals with asymptomatic brain lesions.
  • Analyzed 2363 neurologically healthy adults undergoing brain MRI screening over a mean follow-up of 8.9 years.
  • Evaluated the association between systolic blood pressure and stroke risk using Cox proportional hazards models.
  • Stratified analyses based on the presence of asymptomatic brain lesions.
  • Stroke risk increased progressively with higher systolic blood pressure in both ABL-negative and ABL-positive groups.
  • Individuals with ABLs exhibited increased stroke risk at lower systolic blood pressure levels.
  • Findings suggest exploratory patterns, necessitating confirmation in larger cohorts before clinical application.

Abstract

Abstract Asymptomatic brain lesions (ABLs), including white matter hyperintensities (WMHs), silent brain infarcts (SBIs), and cerebral microbleeds (CMBs), are common MRI markers of cerebral small-vessel disease and predictors of future stroke. However, the optimal blood pressure (BP) target for primary prevention in individuals with ABLs remains unclear. We analyzed 2363 neurologically healthy adults (mean age 61.9 ± 10.9 years; 54% men) who underwent brain MRI screening (“Brain Dock”) and were followed for incident stroke over a mean of 8.9 years. ABLs were defined as the presence of SBI, WMH (Fazekas grade ≥ 2), or CMBs. The association between systolic BP (SBP) and stroke risk was evaluated using Cox proportional hazards models with restricted cubic splines, stratified by ABL status, and adjusted for age, sex, HbA1c, LDL-C, and antihypertensive use. The interaction between SBP and the ABL status was not significant. Stroke risk increased progressively with increasing SBP in both groups. In the ABL-positive group, the risk appeared to increase at comparatively lower SBP levels; however, this observation was descriptive and should not be interpreted as indicating a specific threshold. Due to limited stroke events and wide confidence intervals, particularly at higher SBP levels, these spline-based patterns should be considered exploratory rather than definitive. However, confirmation in larger prospective cohorts and interventional studies is needed before MRI-defined cerebrovascular markers can inform clinical blood pressure strategies.

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Cite This Study

Iwasa et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69eb0bfa553a5433e34b579dhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41440-026-02639-z
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