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April 30, 2026Business Strategy and the Environment0 citations

Impact Assessment of Climate Change on Financial Market Resilience: Evidence From China

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JZJie ZhouLWL WangZLZidan Luo

Key Points

  • This paper investigates how climate change impacts financial market resilience in China.
  • Employs double machine learning
  • Analyzes impacts on stock, bond, and foreign exchange markets
  • Examines effects on enterprise output and credit
  • Climate change undermines financial market resilience for 1-3 years
  • Increases volatility in financial markets
  • Reduces enterprise output and tightens credit

Abstract

ABSTRACT Climate change has emerged as a major threat to global financial stability, as increasingly frequent extreme weather events damage ecosystems and disrupt economic activity. In China, climate change exacerbates regional risks; affects agriculture, infrastructure, and local economies; and increases volatility in financial markets. This study employs double machine learning to explore how climate change affects China's financial market resilience. Findings reveal that climate change undermines China's financial market resilience for 1–3 years, notably within stock, bond, and foreign exchange markets. This study further reveals that climate change further weakens market resilience by reducing enterprise output, tightening credit, and increasing government regulatory costs. Moreover, our findings suggest that the development of green finance and digital finance acts as a crucial buffer against climate‐related shocks and contributes to greater market stability. This study offers theoretical support for policymakers seeking to address climate risks and strengthen the resilience of financial markets.

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Cite This Study

Zhou et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69f2a42a8c0f03fd67763209https://doi.org/10.1002/bse.70816
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