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May 3, 2026Statistical Analysis and Data Mining The ASA Data Science Journal0 citations

Bayesian Dirichlet Process Copula Mixtures for Heterogeneous Multi‐Cluster Data: Methods and an NBA Player Stats Application

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YLYujian LiuSYSiyi Yu

Key Points

  • The goal is to develop a method for analyzing multi-cluster data with complex dependency structures.
  • Implemented copula-based Dirichlet process mixture models using a slice-sampling MCMC scheme.
  • Applied the method to advanced NBA player statistics from the 2021-2024 seasons.
  • Simulated studies were conducted to assess model performance.
  • The copula approach accurately identifies heavy-tailed clusters, unlike Gaussian mixture models.
  • Distinct subgroups of NBA players were discovered, showing varied correlation and marginal shapes.
  • Posterior distributions provided simultaneous insights into the number of clusters and copula parameters.

Abstract

ABSTRACT We propose an approach for fitting multi‐cluster data using copula‐based Dirichlet process mixture models (DPM). Unlike conventional finite mixture models, our framework uses Sklar's theorem to accommodate heterogeneous marginal distributions and complex inter‐variable dependencies. We adopt a slice‐sampling MCMC scheme to enable full Bayesian inference, which makes the posterior distribution on the number of clusters and the cluster‐specific copula parameters simultaneously available. Simulation studies show that this DPM‐copula approach can accurately capture and recover heavy‐tailed or skewed clusters, while the Gaussian mixture model cannot. We apply our method to real NBA player‐level advanced statistics from the 2021–2024 seasons, demonstrating how the model discovers distinct subgroups that exhibit different correlation structures and marginal shapes. These insights show the advantages of a flexible, copula‐based approach for multi‐cluster data analysis in sports analytics and beyond.

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Cite This Study

Liu et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69f6e6648071d4f1bdfc7110https://doi.org/10.1002/sam.70074
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