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May 6, 20260 citationsOpen Access

Autonomous Clinical Pathways: Evaluating the Efficacy and Safety of Agentic AI Orchestration in Emergency Department Triage

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DNDr. Kizito Uzoma Ndugbu*

Key Points

  • This study aims to assess the efficacy and safety of an agentic AI system in emergency department triage.
  • Conducted a mixed-method evaluation combining retrospective simulation of 10,000 ED cases with a prospective shadow clinical trial.
  • Compared AI-generated triage recommendations against nurse triage decisions.
  • Utilized multimodal data fusion from natural language interviews, physiological vitals, and electronic health record data.
  • Achieved a weighted Kappa of 0.89, indicating strong inter-rater reliability between AI and triage nurses.
  • Sensitivity for ESI Level 1 cases was 100%.
  • Reduced mean time from patient arrival to diagnostics from 28.4 minutes to 4.2 minutes (p < 0.001).

Abstract

Emergency Department (ED) overcrowding is a persistent global healthcare challenge associated with increased morbidity, mortality, and clinician burnout. A major contributor to this crisis is the operational delay between patient presentation and clinical action—often described as the clinical action gap. While predictive artificial intelligence has improved risk detection, most systems lack the capacity to initiate clinical workflows, leaving triage processes largely manual and time intensive. This study evaluates the performance and safety of an agentic artificial intelligence orchestration framework designed to autonomously conduct patient intake interviews, assign Emergency Severity Index (ESI) levels, and initiate diagnostic orders through clinical information systems. A mixed-method evaluation was conducted consisting of a retrospective in-silico simulation involving 10,000 historical ED cases, and a prospective shadow clinical trial comparing AI-generated triage recommendations with real-world nurse triage decisions. The system used multimodal data fusion combining natural language patient interviews, real-time physiological vitals, and electronic health record data. The architecture employed retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) integrated with a multi-agent orchestration system capable of tool use through hospital APIs. Primary endpoints included inter-rater reliability (weighted Kappa) between AI and triage nurses, door-to-order latency, and safety performance for high-acuity cases. The agentic system demonstrated strong agreement with clinical triage, achieving a weighted κ = 0.89. Sensitivity for ESI Level 1 (resuscitation) cases reached 100%. Mean time from patient arrival to initial diagnostic order placement decreased from 28.4 minutes to 4.2 minutes (p < 0.001). Clinician feedback indicated reduced documentation burden but moderate workflow adaptation concerns. Agentic AI orchestration can significantly improve ED operational efficiency while maintaining clinical safety. By transitioning AI from predictive analytics to autonomous workflow orchestration, healthcare systems may reduce boarding times, improve patient throughput, and alleviate clinician cognitive load.

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Cite This Study

Dr. Kizito Uzoma Ndugbu* (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69faa1eb04f884e66b532a13https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20019699
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