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May 9, 2026Earth s Future0 citationsOpen Access

Historical and Future Global Irrigation Energy Consumption by Fuel and Region

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YZYing ZhangSSSteven J. SmithKCKelly Casper

Key Points

  • The aim is to explore historical and future trends in global irrigation energy consumption by different fuel types across regions.
  • Developed a global dataset of country-level irrigation energy consumption by electric, diesel, and solar pumps.
  • Utilized a logistic transformed regression model to estimate fuel shares for irrigation historically.
  • Projected future irrigation energy use using the Global Change Analysis Model.
  • Future projections indicate a shift to solar irrigation in regions like India and Pakistan, while the USA and China primarily use grid electricity.
  • The dataset reveals significant variations in energy consumption patterns across different countries.
  • Comparison with IEA data confirms the accuracy and highlights trends in irrigation energy use.

Abstract

Abstract Irrigation energy use is a significant component of agricultural production costs, contributing directly to the energy and emissions intensity of crop production and ultimately to food prices. Understanding the existing structure of irrigation energy consumption help achieve food‐energy‐water security and environmental goals. We present a comprehensive global data set detailing country‐level irrigation energy consumption, emphasizing the comparative use of electric, diesel, and emerging solar pumps. To our knowledge, no such data set exists. We draw from a literature review to develop a logistic transformed regression model to estimate the shares of fuel sources for irrigation across countries over historical years to construct a global data set of country‐level irrigation energy consumption by multiple fuel sources. Additionally, we compare our estimates of irrigation energy use with agricultural energy use as reported by the International Energy Agency and other external sources. We then use this data to project future irrigation energy use with the Global Change Analysis Model, which is a multisector dynamics model, to showcase the usage of this data set. Projections under the reference scenario show a global shift in fuel types for irrigation pumping, while patterns vary across regions, with India and Pakistan leading in solar‐powered irrigation growth and countries like the USA and China continuing to rely primarily on grid electricity. This data set provides a resource to understand the role of irrigation fuel choices within the broader energy sector, as well as the connected agricultural, land use, and water sectors under alternative future scenarios, enabling informed decision making toward efficient agricultural practices.

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Cite This Study

Zhang et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69fecf49b9154b0b828764d8https://doi.org/10.1029/2025ef007970
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