According to recent American opinion polls, Democratic Party candidate Kamala Harris is making a remarkable - and unexpected - lead over her fierce competitor Donald Trump in the presidential race. This makes it likely that she will achieve a surprise victory to become the first woman in the history of the United States as president.China is paying special attention to following this American race, and is already preparing plans to deal with each candidate if he wins. The winner of this race will largely determine the course and nature of the escalating conflict between the United States and China in the coming years, so limiting Chinese power is a top strategic priority for the United States agreed upon by both parties. However, China prefers Republicans in general and Trump in particular as guests of the White House, even if it appears otherwise. There are great strategic opportunities for China to enhance its international influence under the leadership of the Republicans and Trump in particular due to his isolationist approach that will lead to a large gap of estrangement between the United States and its traditional allies
Shahlaa Abdelwahab (2024) studied this question.