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May 16, 2026AEA Papers and Proceedings0 citations

Climate Change and Long-Run Factor Shares

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TLTianzi LiuIRIvan RudikZXZebang Xu

Key Points

  • The study aims to explore how climate change affects the long-run distribution of income between labor and capital.
  • Developed an equilibrium growth model considering labor- and capital-augmenting productivities influenced by temperature.
  • Analyzed the relationship between temperature and capital-augmenting productivity through elasticity of substitution.
  • Temperature's effect on factor shares relies solely on the elasticity of substitution between labor and capital.
  • Labor-augmenting productivity and elasticity of labor supply have no impact on temperature's long-run effects on income distribution.

Abstract

What is the long-run effect of climate change on how income is distributed between capital and labor? To answer this question, we develop an equilibrium growth model with labor- and capital-augmenting productivities that are affected by changes in temperature. We show that how temperature affects the long-run division of income only depends on the elasticity of substitution between labor and capital and how temperature affects capital-augmenting productivity. Labor-augmenting productivity and the elasticity of labor supply play no role in temperature's long-run effects on factor shares.

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Cite This Study

Liu et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a080b38a487c87a6a40d598https://doi.org/10.1257/pandp.20261025
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