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February 1, 2013Journal of Business and Economic Statistics343 citations

Should Macroeconomic Forecasters Use Daily Financial Data and How?

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EAElena AndreouÉGÉric GhyselsAKAndros Kourtellos

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Abstract

We introduce easy-to-implement, regression-based methods for predicting quarterly real economic activity that use daily financial data and rely on forecast combinations of mixed data sampling (MIDAS) regressions. We also extract a novel small set of daily financial factors from a large panel of about 1000 daily financial assets. Our analysis is designed to elucidate the value of daily financial information and provide real-time forecast updates of the current (nowcasting) and future quarters of real GDP growth.

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Cite This Study

Andreou et al. (2013) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a08a22d0df715653be8b3a9https://doi.org/10.1080/07350015.2013.767199
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