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May 20, 2026International Journal of Disaster Risk Science0 citationsOpen Access

How Urban Morphology Regulates Flood Accumulation: A Controlled Modeling Study

LWLiying WangWZWeiyang ZhaoZNZhipan Niu

Key Points

  • This study aims to explore how different urban morphology parameters affect water accumulation during floods.
  • Utilized reverse Monte Carlo simulation to create urban morphology ensembles with controlled parameters.
  • Evaluated synthetic layouts using a high-precision hydrodynamic model.
  • Analyzed water accumulation differences based on hydraulic mechanisms like anisotropy and connectivity.
  • Porosity led to a weak net reduction in water accumulation due to opposing effects of connectivity.
  • The order parameter significantly increased water accumulation by enhancing rotational flow motion.
  • Identified nonlinear interactions where high order parameter and large feature distance synergistically increased accumulation.

Abstract

Abstract Urban morphology regulates surface flows and influences pluvial flooding. However, conventional models and studies lack a mechanistic, system-level explanation of how macroscopic building configuration governs water accumulation, due to fragmented representations of spatial structure and an inability to isolate morphological causality. To address these limitations, we examined the impact of urban morphology using three morphological parameters adapted from statistical physics and porous media theory: porosity ( P ), order parameter ( φ ), and feature distance ( d ). We used reverse Monte Carlo (RMC) simulation to generate urban morphology ensembles with controlled parameters. Each synthetic layout was evaluated with a high-precision hydrodynamic model, and we interpreted the resulting differences in water accumulation through three hydraulic mechanisms: anisotropy, hydraulic connectivity, and vorticity. The results reveal a porosity-related trade-off: its direct capacity to reduce water accumulation is strongly counteracted by an indirect, connectivity-mediated effect that increases accumulation, resulting in a weak net reduction. The order parameter ( φ ) primarily exacerbates water accumulation by intensifying rotational flow motion. We also identified nonlinear interactions: high φ combined with large d produces a synergistic increase in accumulation, whereas high P can buffer the adverse effect of high φ . This research demonstrates that urban water accumulation patterns emerge from complex, nonlinear interactions between building morphological parameters, and it provides a physics-grounded basis for designing flood-resilient urban layouts.

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Cite This Study

Wang et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a0d4f92f03e14405aa9adf3https://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-026-00734-w
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