PulseExploreJournal ClubDebatesTrendingResearchersJournals
Instagram
HomeExploreJournal ClubTrending
Synapse
⌘+K
Synapse
May 20, 2026Synthese0 citationsOpen Access

Conditional reliability and induction

TSTodd Stewart

Key Points

  • This research examines the challenge posed by Goodman’s riddle of induction to conditional reliability in inductive reasoning.
  • Analyzed the implications of Goodman's riddle on the standard reliabilist approach.
  • Proposed a new framework that integrates inferential dispositions to address identified issues.
  • Conditional reliability analysis suggests inductive inferences can be deemed unjustified.
  • The proposed analysis potentially resolves reliance on inductive skepticism by introducing inferential dispositions.

Abstract

I explore a problem for the standard process reliabilist analysis of proper inference in terms of conditional reliability. The difficulty involves Goodman’s new riddle of induction, which can be used to argue that inductive inferences are in fact conditionally unreliable, and hence that no inductive inference is capable of producing a justified belief given the conditional reliability analysis. Accepting this conclusion would commit reliabilism to an unattractive form of inductive skepticism. I then consider some ways a reliabilist could resolve this problem, finally proposing a new analysis incorporating inferential dispositions.

Ask AI
Helpful
Bookmark
Share
View Full Paper

Cite This Study

Todd Stewart (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a0d5013f03e14405aa9b9ebhttps://doi.org/10.1007/s11229-026-05614-w
Ask AI
Helpful
Bookmark
Share
View Full Paper