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May 20, 2026Nature Aging2 citationsOpen Access

Predicting categorical and continuous Alzheimer’s disease outcomes from a single MRI scan

DMDaren MaCPChristabelle PabalanARAbhejit Rajagopal

Key Points

  • The aim is to predict both categorical and continuous outcomes of Alzheimer’s disease using a single MRI scan.
  • Implemented a multitask deep learning framework integrating domain knowledge with pretrained models.
  • Utilized customized loss functions and tissue segmentation-tuned features for regularization.
  • Predictions were based solely on baseline MRI and demographic data without needing longitudinal information.
  • Achieved accurate diagnosis and segmentation alongside current and future cognitive scores from a single MRI scan.
  • Improved prediction accuracy by bypassing the need for multimodal or specialized neuroimaging data.
  • Significant implications for early diagnosis and clinical trial design efficiency.

Abstract

Abstract Deep learning (DL) has shown success in predicting Alzheimer’s disease (AD) diagnosis, yet continuous measures such as cognitive assessment remain critical for richer prognosis, trajectory tracking and clinical trial enrichment. Current neurocognitive batteries are time-consuming, and the few DL models predicting cognition require expensive multimodal neuroimaging and longitudinal data. Although magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is the most clinically accessible modality, on its own it struggles to capture AD heterogeneity in modern DL frameworks. We propose a multitask DL strategy integrating domain knowledge with large pretrained models to predict cognitive scores using only baseline MRI and demographics. By customizing loss functions and leveraging tissue segmentation-tuned latent representations as regularization features, our approach bypasses the need for longitudinal, multimodal or specialized neuroimaging data. This knowledge-informed multitask framework produces accurate diagnosis, segmentation and both current and future cognitive scores from a single baseline scan, with broad implications for early diagnosis, prognosis and clinical trial design.

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Cite This Study

Ma et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a0d5013f03e14405aa9ba85https://doi.org/10.1038/s43587-026-01121-2
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