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May 20, 20260 citationsOpen Access

FROM EARTH TO CLOUD: The Hidden Geopolitics of AI Infrastructure and the Governance Gap

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RORafael S. Oliveira

Key Points

  • The aim is to challenge the perception of AI as a neutral technology by examining its geopolitical implications.
  • Analyzed proceedings from the interdisciplinary conference Dalla Terra al Cloud in Trento, 2026.
  • Identified the full supply chain of AI from mineral extraction to data center demands.
  • Proposed a new regulatory framework based on the ReDiEM principles.
  • Demonstrated how existing governance frameworks inadequately address the material aspects of AI.
  • Highlighted the perverse incentives in AI business models that increase resource consumption.
  • Proposed the notion of situatedness as essential for addressing geopolitical inequalities.

Abstract

Artificial intelligence is widely represented as an immaterial, borderless, and essentially neutral technology. This paper challenges that representation by developing a framework of geopolitical externalization: the systematic displacement of AI infrastructure's real costs — environmental, social, and economic — onto territories and populations with the least governance capacity to resist them. Drawing on the proceedings of the interdisciplinary public conference Dalla Terra al Cloud (Trento, 13 May 2026), the paper traces the full supply chain of AI: from cobalt and coltan extraction in the Democratic Republic of Congo, through thirty years of resource-linked armed conflict and bilateral mineral agreements, to the energy, water, and labour demands of hyperscale data centre infrastructure. The paper further examines how the pay-per-token business model of AI firms creates perverse incentives that systematically increase resource consumption, and why efficiency gains cannot substitute for structural sufficiency policies. Against this material backdrop, existing international governance frameworks — including the EU AI Act — are shown to address AI primarily as a software problem, leaving its material infrastructure and the geopolitical inequalities it reproduces systematically unaddressed. The paper concludes by proposing situatedness — articulated through Federica Russo's ReDiEM framework of Relationality, Distributivity, Embodiment, and Materiality — as the governing principle for a more adequate international regulatory architecture.

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Cite This Study

Rafael S. Oliveira (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a0d5122f03e14405aa9d71dhttps://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20271052
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