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December 1, 2015Journal of the American Heart Association54 citationsOpen Access

Magnitude of and Prognostic Factors Associated With 1‐Year Mortality After Hospital Discharge for Acute Decompensated Heart Failure Based on Ejection Fraction Findings

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ACAndrew H. ColesMTMayra TisminetzkyJYJorge Yarzebski

Key Result

Ejection fraction at discharge for acute decompensated heart failure predicted 1-year mortality, occurring in 34% with reduced, 30% with borderline, and 29% with preserved EF (P=0.03).

Key Points

  • This study aims to assess the magnitude of 1-year mortality and identify prognostic factors post-hospital discharge for acute decompensated heart failure patients based on ejection fraction.
  • Reviewed hospital medical records of 4025 patients discharged after acute decompensated heart failure from 11 medical centers in central Massachusetts from 1995-2006.
  • Patients were classified based on ejection fraction: reduced (≤40%), borderline preserved (41-49%), and preserved (≥50%).
  • Analyzed factors associated with 1-year mortality including age, comorbidities, and physiological measurements.
  • At 1 year, mortality rates were 34% for reduced EF, 30% for borderline preserved EF, and 29% for preserved EF (P=0.03).
  • Older age, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, low systolic blood pressure (<150 mm Hg), and hyponatremia were significant mortality predictors.
  • Certain comorbidities and factors were linked to differing mortality rates based on ejection fraction categories.

Study Design

Type

Observational (n=4,025)

Multicenter

Yes

Structured PICO

P
Population
4,025 patients discharged after acute decompensated heart failure from 11 medical centers in central Massachusetts. Average age 75 years, 93% white, 44% men. Stratified by EF: 35% (n=1414) reduced (≤40%), 13% (n=521) borderline preserved (41-49%), 52% (n=2090) preserved (≥50%).
O
Outcome
1-year mortality after hospital dischargehard clinical

One-year mortality after discharge for acute decompensated heart failure remains high across all ejection fraction groups, with slightly higher rates in those with reduced EF.

Main Result

Absolute Event Rate: 34% vs 29%

p-value: p=0.03

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Limited data exist about the magnitude of and the factors associated with prognosis within 1 year for patients discharged from the hospital after acute decompensated heart failure. Data are particularly limited from the more generalizable perspective of a population-based investigation and should be further stratified according to currently recommended ejection fraction (EF) findings. METHODS AND RESULTS: The hospital medical records of residents of the Worcester, Massachusetts, metropolitan area who were discharged after acute decompensated heart failure from all 11 medical centers in central Massachusetts during 1995, 2000, 2002, 2004, and 2006 were reviewed. The average age of the 4025 study patients was 75 years, 93% were white, and 44% were men. Of these, 35% (n=1414) had reduced EF (≤40%), 13% (n=521) had borderline preserved EF (41-49%), and 52% (n=2090) had preserved EF (≥50%); at 1 year after discharge, death rates were 34%, 30%, and 29%, respectively (P=0.03). Older age, a history of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, systolic blood pressure findings <150 mm Hg on admission, and hyponatremia were important predictors of 1-year mortality for all study patients, whereas several comorbidities and physiological factors were differentially associated with 1-year death rates in patients with reduced, borderline preserved, and preserved EF. CONCLUSIONS: This population-based study highlights the need for further contemporary research into the characteristics, treatment practices, natural history, and long-term outcomes of patients with acute decompensated heart failure and varying EF findings and reinforces ongoing discussions about whether different treatment guidelines may be needed for these patients to design more personalized treatment plans.

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Cite This Study

Coles et al. (2015) conducted an observational in Acute decompensated heart failure (n=4,025). Reduced ejection fraction (≤40%) vs. Preserved ejection fraction (≥50%) was evaluated on 1-year mortality (p=0.03). Ejection fraction at discharge for acute decompensated heart failure predicted 1-year mortality, occurring in 34% with reduced, 30% with borderline, and 29% with preserved EF (P=0.03).

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a0f777c2badbc352afe35dchttps://doi.org/10.1161/jaha.115.002303
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